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Vaccine hopes drive stocks higher on 'Black Monday' anniversary

Published 10/18/2020, 08:47 PM
Updated 10/19/2020, 05:01 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A passersby wearing a protective face mask walks in front of a stock quotation board, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Tokyo

By Thyagaraju Adinarayan

LONDON (Reuters) - European stocks rallied on Monday as rising hopes of a coronavirus vaccine by the end of the year and a U.S. fiscal package before elections offset concern over record daily infections in the region.

Wall Street futures rose 0.9% on the 33rd anniversary of the 1987 "Black Monday" crash, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) lost 22.6% in one day, equivalent to a drop of about 6,500 points in the index today.

European blue-chip stocks index (STOXX50) rose 0.8% even as new COVID-19 cases were growing at over 150,000 a day in Europe. Parts of the UK were put into lockdown and France imposed curfews.

Those worries and no breakthrough in the Brexit stalemate failed to curb risk appetite among investors, after U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said on Sunday she was optimistic about a coronavirus relief deal before Election Day.

Boosting overall sentiment, drugmaker Pfizer Inc (N:PFE) said on Friday it could have a coronavirus vaccine ready in the United States by the end of this year.

"A vaccine will be broadly available from the second quarter of next year, with markets moving to price in the economic benefits well ahead of that," said Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.

"The on-off fiscal talks have injected near-term volatility into risk assets, but instead of staying on sidelines, we suggest investors consider ways to build up long-term positions in these market conditions."

Investors also took comfort from China's economic recovery in the third quarter as consumers shook off their coronavirus caution, although the weaker-than-expected headline growth capped stock market gains in Asia.

"The rebound in Q3 GDP was less strong than expected, but was still a decent 4.9% year on year. September data beat expectations, suggesting a pick-up in momentum towards the latter part of Q3," said Frances Cheung, head of macro strategy for Asia at Westpac in Singapore.

"The pick-up in momentum was broad-based, which bodes well for the Q4 outlook."

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.5% for a second straight day of gains, paring back following third-quarter gross domestic product data from China.

Separate monthly indicators pointed to an expansion in economic activity. Industrial output accelerated 6.9% in September from a year earlier, when analysts were looking for a 5.8% gain from a 5.6% rise in August.

Later in the week, key risk events, include minutes of Australia's central bank meeting, the final U.S. presidential debate and global manufacturing indicators.

Action in currencies was muted with the U.S. dollar (=USD) flat at 93.696 against a basket of six major currencies. [USD/]

The euro (EUR=) traded higher at $1.1725 and the sterling held above a 10-day low on Monday. Investors cut their holdings as British and European negotiators tried to salvage post-Brexit trade talks.

"EU-UK trade talks are flirting with collapse," ANZ economists said.

"UK Prime Minister Johnson said the UK needs to prepare for a no-deal outcome, as both sides cannot agree on a Canada-style FTA. Talks resume in London on Monday, but without the political willingness to shift ground, there is little the negotiators can achieve."

In commodities, Brent crude futures (LCOc1) were flat at $42.92 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (CLC1) traded at $40.91 a barrel.

© Reuters. Traders are seen at work at Northern Trust offices in London

Spot gold rose 0.6% to $1,909.6 an ounce.

Latest comments

big cell off ready for my 1l client
SsIs History repeats itself not just like Hillary winning then Yrump won any how no DEAL IS what's coming and MR BIDEN yourz FIRED
can you immagine someone gets paid to write the same thing each day?
tomorrow the headline will be "markets swoon as investor concerns over increasing Corona virus cases grow". the following day the headlines will reverse again
Markets jump on printers going BRRRR everywhere. Billionaires getting richer while pitting us against each other.
Hopes, ok noted. going long.
Looking to sell all my hope puts. 1000+ contracts. immediately!
I got calls on hubris
Stimulus "Optimism", "Bet", "Hope"... Who needs anything actually done when you can ride the wave of optimism/bet/hope for ever?
As a non-American, I would think if Biden won, you're screwed, if Trump won, you are deeply screwed.
Monday is always full of optimism. So no need in obsolete headlines.
I dont believe American would choose a heavily corrupted Biden!
How do you know, please provide what Fake News you read?
He and his family members made multi million dollar fortunes off his shady dealings.
Believe in the Blue Wave. Biden has women vote for sure. He is a warrior and a gentleman. Cheetoh is neither.
There won’t be a vaccine
Fake news. There will be multiple vaccines in early 2021.
As with all media the writer is trying to influence the audience as opposed to providing facts and logical conclusions.
Certainly not hoping foe blue wave. Actually Biden Russia connection helping Trump. That and vaccine news.
Please provide Biden Russia connection...without proof, it is all he said she said...
Did they find vaccines for HIV, Ebola, Nipah, H1N1 in last 10-15 years.....??!! A writer always keep 10 +ve points if mkts go up and vice versa.... To whom this help? May be for the site if somebody clicks the ads!!
“Blue Wave” is not apart of any hope I see. Look at the major cities in the US. No thanks.
Geez, can we make up a new headline.  We ALL know there is no stimulus before the election, nor will there be immediately after.  There is no stimulus "Hope" moving the markets.
is the fed manipulation on trumps behalf only...everything else is nonsensical
Joe, You made a lot of money in China, if share with me, I can vote for you. Don't eat alone, split with public. Don't be greedy.
He made waaaaaay more with the Russians it looks like. Wow. More to follow. Stay tuned!
funny how not the dems want proof. for the last few years accusations seemed to enough.
And when Donaldo releasie his taxes we will know who owns him and why
Vaccine "Hope" stimulus "Hope"... another day another dollar.
Hopes...again. Rally away boys and girls. Rally away
You need new writers..hoping one day you run out of fake news.
u should write for Reuters. u are better than them.
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