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Stocks adrift as vaccine rally falters; gold and bonds rise

Published 05/19/2020, 07:59 PM
Updated 05/20/2020, 02:05 AM
© Reuters. A passerby wearing a protective face mask, following an outbreak of the coronavirus, walks past an electronic board showing the graphs of the recent movements of Japan's Nikkei share average outside a brokerage in Tokyo

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian stocks struggled to extend the week's rally on Wednesday, and gold and bonds firmed, as a sceptical press report dented some hopes for a COVID-19 vaccine and concerns about the global recovery from the pandemic returned.

MSCI (NYSE:MSCI)'s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was flat. The risk-sensitive Australian dollar retreated from a two-month high struck on Tuesday and safe-haven demand drove U.S. Treasury yields back under 0.7%.

European futures were subdued with FTSE futures and EuroSTOXX 50 futures down 0.3%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.6%.

The drift follows a downbeat end to Tuesday trade on Wall Street after a report from medical news website STAT cast doubt over encouraging early results from a Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) Inc COVID-19 vaccine trial.

The report said the results, which had rallied global stocks this week, lacked detail.

"This is probably more a stabilisation than anything else, because markets have rallied hard on opening up and the potential for a V-shaped recovery," said Jun Bei Liu, a portfolio manager at Australia's Tribeca Investment Partners.

"The market is a little bit directionless," she said, with investors waiting to take their next cues from company outlook commentaries and confidence surveys.

Two thirds of 223 fund managers surveyed by Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) reckon recent gains are a bear-market rally.

Around Asia, the Chinese yuan and stocks in Hong Kong and China idled just under flat as investors wait to hear the government's economic plans, due to be announced during the annual gathering of parliament beginning on Friday.

Australian shares ground higher and Japan's Nikkei rose 1%, helped by a softer yen and anticipation that declining infection rates will make a case for swift economic re-opening.

Oil was steady and benchmark 10-year yields on U.S. Treasuries dipped 1.5 basis points to 0.6948%. Yields fall when prices rise.

Gold rose slightly to $1,745.84 per ounce.

WOBBLY RECOVERY

Doubts about the outlook held back commodity prices from further gains, as more bad news poured forth.

Japanese business confidence slumped to a decade low as the economy entered recession while Australian retail sales suffered their steepest ever dive in April. British jobless claims are at their highest in 20 years.

And the U.S. economy won't recover its lost ground until sometime after next year, the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office said on Tuesday.

Brent crude futures rose about 1% a barrel to $34.93 and U.S. crude rose 0.7% to $32.17.

"While countries have started to relax restrictions on economic and social activities, economies will not return to where things were before the outbreak," said strategist at Singapore's DBS bank in a note.

"Geopolitical tensions, especially between the U.S. and China, have also returned and are likely to intensify into the U.S. elections in November."

In currency markets the euro remained supported in the afterglow of a Franco-German proposal for a common relief fund - a possible way through tensions between European Union members. It inched up to $1.0940.

© Reuters. A passerby wearing a protective face mask, following an outbreak of the coronavirus, walks past an electronic board showing the graphs of the recent movements of Japan's Nikkei share average outside a brokerage in Tokyo

Other majors steadied, while the Aussie and kiwi battled, mostly without success, to break out of the ranges that have held them for months.

Latest comments

"VACCINE RALLY RESUMES " new headline. there you go your new headline
so spy is almost back to yesterdays highs and this headline that's 3hrs old doesnt seem to apply now. what will you come up with before open?
It seems like most people are reading the tabloid hype and social media and no one is reading Lancet and other medical journals?
It's just a gang of degenerate gamblers and fed hopium holding things up for now. This house of cards is a beauty.
don't worry my friend it will all collapse and we will have the last laugh
HA! Monday early it was ‘Cure Hopes’....now it was a ‘vaccine rally’...pure comedy.
'vaccine rally falter' - HAHAHAHAHA. Hilarious, vaccine rally. Unbelievable the nonsense that people will listen too. A 'vaccine rally' - are you kidding me!
Has anyone ever stopped to think that in 150 years of market data we are still in an upward positive trend...never the less to mention that our technological and scientific advancement is extraordinarily perpetual...everything is so cyclical but yet shorts and bearish mentality cant unhinge themselves from their dramatized life style
yeah let's ban those mean short sellers, they really wreck the fun
Yeah! I mean, double digit unemployment into next year won't have a negative effect on the economy. right?
perfect example of "buy the rumor sell the fact"
Adrift = Green 🤔
adrift = no direction.. get a clue
''While countries have started to relax restrictions on economic and social activities, economies will not return to where things were before the outbreak," said a strategist at Singapore's DBS Bank in a note.'' -- I wonder how old the ingredients in this article are. Maybe the strategist said this months ago and it gets only now released when the market needs a pullback. I can't imagine a bank strategist saying this kind of very old news at this time. The strategist wrote this wisdom in a note .. They could have asked ME and I could have told them the same in mid-march. Goes to show how fake the news is here .. shaking my head
The strategist's emphasis was on ... ''economies will not return to where things were before the outbreak..''  regardless of when the relaxing of restrictions and the reopening were happening. Therefore my comment above is not invalidated: because the jist of not returning to the same normal before the virus: anyone could have foreseen by mid-March what the strategist put into the note.
I knew this Moderna press release was nothing more than STOCK MANIPULATION. well at least the FED didn't have to pump the ponzi scheme for one day. SHAMELESS, THEY HAVE NO INTEGRITY. No wonder people don't trust our institutions anymore.
well, watch for more press release on positive news. they took a lot of govt money so they're taking turns of releasing good news every week, there are like 2 dozens companies out there developing something.
Kluskiradonovaus test are promising, 4 people haven't died, one of them released home the same day then he even ate featherless chicken. Markets just have to go up on this news, it's really good justification.
sp500 now rallying to 3150 in the next two weeks. Things back to normal earlier than people thought
1 guy trys it and it works. market is like "oh OK its all over yay". get real people (-_-)
Quit speculating on the reasons why the market goes up and down. No one really knows. artificial intelligence is at play here. When you think you got it, you don’t. Move on and make your money.
All was A press operation to help moderna, friend of trump. The Warp team, the cheer man Powell on 60 minutes and the lie about the vaccine. Plus media, EVERY ONE, REPORTING THE LIE. Clear no?
Did anyone else read we're facing the worst 2nd quarter contraction since the Great Depression. With all the FED's intervention it's tough to figure what's coming down the pipe. Can they really keep the market afloat? It did drop to 18,000 not too long ago
Just need the media...
The market bottomed out way before the stimulus package arrived.
Thanks Remdesivir!
Don't worry.  Soon someone from somewhere will say something good about a vaccine and the market will "rally" again.
Very well said. I almost fell for this "vaccine is here" junk and bought up shares thinking the market will correct itself. Good thing I didn't
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