Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Stocks steady, oil cools as U.S.-Iran tensions ease

Published 01/07/2020, 05:34 AM
Updated 01/07/2020, 05:34 AM
© Reuters. Traders look at financial information on computer screens on the IG Index trading floor

By Thyagaraju Adinarayan

LONDON (Reuters) - World shares steadied and oil pulled back from multi-month highs on Tuesday after dramatic post-new year moves, as investors judged prospects of an all-out conflict between the United States and Iran had eased.

After a strong rally, oil gave back some of its gains amid signs that Iran would be unlikely to strike against the U.S. in a way that would disrupt supplies.

Brent crude futures fell 49 cents to $68.42 a barrel, having been as high as $70.74 on Monday, while U.S. crude dropped 42 cents to $62.85.

European equities meanwhile rose 0.7%, tracking similar gains in Asia. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan recouped almost all of Monday's losses.

Stock futures for the S&P 500 firmed 0.2%.

"Geopolitical risk has always felt much worse for markets in the heat of the moment than it does in hindsight, but it's always possible that the next one will bring us into a different era," Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn) strategist Jim Reid said.

Risky assets started 2020 on the back foot as Tehran and Washington traded threats after a U.S. air strike on Baghdad airport killed a top Iranian commander.

On Monday the mood began to calm, helping U.S. shares recover ground. The Dow rose 0.24%, the S&P 500 0.35% and the Nasdaq 0.56%.

SAFETY PLAYS OUT OF FAVOR

On Tuesday emerging markets, which had been hardest hit, bounced back, with stocks rising 0.4%.

With those gains, the MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 49 countries, was 0.4% away from a record high.

"Markets got a lift from the lack of follow-through (after the air strike) as yesterday progressed, and by the end of the session had actually staged a reasonable recovery," Reid added.

Safety plays were out of favor, with gold retreating to $1,569.41 an ounce, after scaling a near seven-year peak overnight. Euro zone government bond yields edged up from around three-week lows.

The calmer mood also saw the yen lose much of its safe-haven gains, with the dollar bouncing to 108.48 yen from a low of 107.75 hit on Monday.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar drifted off to 97.661 but stayed well above a recent six-month trough of 96.355.

The euro edged up to $1.1192, but faces stiff chart resistance around $1.1240, while sterling made gains to $1.3196 on better UK economic data.

Surveys of service sectors overnight showed an improvement in the United States, UK and EU, suggesting the ISM measure of U.S. services due on Tuesday might also show strength.

"We think the longest U.S. expansion on record still has plenty of legs," said Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets. "To be sure, Iran adds an additional layer of complexity."

© Reuters. Traders look at financial information on computer screens on the IG Index trading floor

"But while the risk of conflict has increased, the reality is this is likely to be limited to proxy skirmishes," he said. "The risk of a "hot" conflict seems low as Iran is unlikely to respond in such a way that risks a significant escalation from the United States."

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.