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Stocks sink as coronavirus fears outweigh recovery hopes

Published 01/17/2021, 07:24 PM
Updated 01/18/2021, 07:41 AM
© Reuters. Traders from BGC Partners, a global brokerage company in London's Canary Wharf financial centre wait for European stock markets to open

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON (Reuters) - Global stock markets sank on Monday as soaring COVID-19 cases offset investor hopes of a quick economic recovery, even after data showing that the Chinese economy rebounded faster-than-expected in the fourth quarter of 2020.

European stocks as measured by the STOXX 600 index traded 0.1% lower as of 1134 GMT, after failed merger talks between French retailer Carrefour (PA:CARR) and Alimentation Couche-Tard. The continent's 50 biggest stocks were down 0.3% (EU)

Germany's DAX traded flat, France's CAC 40 index fell 0.1% and Italy's FTSE MIB index gained 0.1%. Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.3%.

In Asia, Chinese blue chips gained 1.1% after the economy was reported to have grown 6.5% in the fourth quarter, on a year earlier, topping forecasts of 6.1%.

Industrial production for December also beat estimates, although retail sales missed expectations.

"The recovery in domestic demand still lacks a solid backing," said Lauri Hälikkä, fixed income and FX strategist at SEB. "Sporadic virus outbreaks have intensified downside risks in the near term."

China reported more than 100 new COVID-19 cases for the sixth consecutive day, with rising infections in the northeast fuelling concern of another wave when hundreds of millions of people travel for the Lunar New Year holiday.

Tough new controls in the city of Gongzhuling in Jilin province, which has a population of about 1 million people, brings the total number of people under lockdown to more than 29 million.

Hallika said the impact of the latest regional lockdowns and mass testing is likely to be limited and short-lived.

The pick-up in China was a marked contrast to the United States and Europe, where the spread of coronavirus has hit consumer spending, underlined by dismal U.S. retail sales reported on Friday.

Poor U.S. consumer spending data last week helped Treasuries pare some of their recent steep losses and 10-year yields were trading at 1.097%, down from last week's top of 1.187%.

The more sober mood in turn boosted the safe-haven U.S. dollar, catching a bearish market deeply short. Speculators increased their net short dollar position to the largest since May 2011 in the week ended Jan. 12.

Also evident are doubts about how much of U.S. President-elect Joe Biden's stimulus package will make it through Congress given Republican opposition, and the risk of more violence at his inauguration on Wednesday.

Elsewhere in Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei slipped 1% and away from a 30-year high.

MSCI'S All Country World Index, which tracks stocks across 49 countries, fell 0.1%, down for a second session after hitting record highs only last week.

E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 traded flat, though Wall Street will be closed on Monday for a holiday.

BUBBLE?

Investors have discussed the question of whether markets are in or may be headed for a bubble.

In a monthly letter to clients last week, Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said all of the preconditions for a bubble are in place.

"Financing costs are at record lows, new participants are being drawn into markets, and the combination of high accumulated savings and low prospective returns on traditional assets create both the means and the desire to engage in speculative activity," he said, warning that in the months ahead, investors will need to pay particular attention to "risks of a monetary policy reversal, rising equity valuations, and the rate of the post-pandemic recovery."

Haefele said however that while he sees pockets of speculation, the broader equity market is not in a bubble.

Cryptocurrency Bitcoin traded up 1.2%, fetching $36,236.

The dollar index firmed to 90.908, its strongest since Dec. 21,, and away from its recent 2-1/2 year trough at 89.206.

The euro had retreated to $1.2070, to its lowest since Dec. 2, while the dollar gained 0.1% against the yen at 103.78 and well above the recent low at 102.57.

The Canadian dollar eased to $1.2792 per dollar after Reuters reported Biden planned to revoke the permit for the Keystone XL oil pipeline.

Biden's pick for Treasury Secretary, Janet Yellen, is expected to rule out seeking a weaker dollar when testifying on Tuesday, the Wall Street Journal reported.

Gold prices gained 0.4% to $1,833 an ounce, compared to its January top of $1,959.

Crude oil prices ran into profit-taking on worries the spread of increasingly tight lockdowns globally would hurt demand, a fall that also dragged the Russian rouble lower by 1.1%.

© Reuters. Traders from BGC Partners, a global brokerage company in London's Canary Wharf financial centre wait for European stock markets to open

Brent crude futures were down 0.1% at $55.60 a barrel, while U.S. crude gained 0.1% to $52.43.

Latest comments

The media always has their reasons for why the market moves.
If you need fake news, tariffs and conspiracy theories to stay ahead, then you will certainly loose. Trumponomics is going to cost the USA everything. Maybe it’s time for China, EU and Russia to take the world forward
I wonder how many USA citizins have to loose life before the corona virus becomes a pandemic in the USA. Up till now it was part of Trumps alternative reality show. Now Trump is not pushing lies, is there any change in people’s attitudes? China is in the end going to overtake the USA like a road runner. MAGA can thank Trump for that.
MCGA 😀
I recall when news meant NEW things. But Reuters’ view of news is to write the same paragraph and put it on top of its stories for a full year. Watch for it ... “Global stock markets sank on Monday as soaring COVID-19 cases offset investor hopes of a quick economic recovery,” blah blah blah.
stocks will sink lower as business income taxes ultimately raise our cost of living. thanks Joe.
So when they lowered business taxes did your cost of living get cheaper?
Yes, my pay increased and my stock portfolio increased in value.
This sink just got one foot stuck in the quick sand. Seems market movers are still very likely to throw a money party for inaugurational celebration. So, investors will wait to open President’s gift box. Looking forward to it.
sink! Not so much.
can't u guys see its realization of recent gains!?
retail sales drop in Europe and the US. Where does china exprort rise to?
USA us a small importer of chinese goods. Majority of Chinese exports are to Europe, South America, Asia and rest of the world. USA is only 18% of China’s export. Yet, Trump acted as if he’s a big buyer! 🤣 but just a small fly!
What do they trade in....$.....USD! So i guess he might have some say.
Maybe to USA and European buyers who are not able to sell it because the let a pandemic run freely?
China is again leading the world out of economic crisis again... the world always depend on China to muscle out of economic crisis...
Ok troll. Next..
OK chinese bot
Ban this China worshipper too. Which country started this whole thing again?
yes that,s good to be because it failed their not good their economy must break down
China economy will remain status quo or grow even without USA. Don’t be brainwashed by Trump that China is reliant on USA! No one is reliant on USA because USA is now getting poor with massive printing of money non stop. USA cannot draw on its reserve savings because it has none! Hence, it resorts to printing money. Sell your US dollars now and buy gold!
OK chinese bot
I guess we’re ignoring that Q4 came in at 2.6% vs Q3, while expected was 3.2% and retail came in 1% lower than expected yoy
good new
Economy is in absolute free fall
The numbers have to be good—because thr chinese are good at faking their numbers, just like their virus stats
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