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Oil and European shares rise as lockdowns ease; gold jumps

Published 05/17/2020, 08:31 PM
Updated 05/18/2020, 06:55 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pedestrians wearing face masks walk near an overpass with an electronic board showing stock information in Shanghai

By Elizabeth Howcroft

LONDON (Reuters) - European stock markets rose on Monday and oil prices climbed to their highest in as much as two months as a loosening of coronavirus shutdowns boosted market sentiment, even though the deadly outbreak has yet to be fully contained.

Warm weather enticed much of the world to emerge from coronavirus lockdowns as centres of the outbreak from New York to Italy and Spain gradually lift restrictions that have kept millions cooped up for months.

However, the weekend also saw anti-lockdown protesters in countries such as the United States, Germany, England and Poland arguing government restrictions demolish personal liberties and are wrecking economies.

The pan-European STOXX 600 (STOXX) was up 2% at 1020 GMT, with heavyweight bourses in Britain (FTSE), Germany (GDAXI) and France (FCHI) all comfortably in positive territory, recovering some of last week's losses.

"The resilience of stock markets relative to the awful economic data that we’ve been seeing over the past fortnight speaks to an optimism that... as economies come out of lockdown we can expect to see improvements as we head into the second half of the year," said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets.

Governments must balance the economic incentive to re-open businesses with the risk of triggering a deadly second wave of the virus, which has killed more than 312,000 people and spread to at least 210 countries since December. [nL4N2AY3AS]

Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn) strategist Jim Reid said, "It does feel like we’re in the middle of a phoney war at the moment with all of us waiting to see how efficiently the various economies are able to re-open given all the social distancing that will be required."

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There were still lots of obstacles to a rapid recovery, with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell saying in an interview on Sunday that a U.S. economic recovery may stretch deep into 2021.

The most important data for the U.S. economy now are the "medical metrics" around the coronavirus pandemic, he said.

Health ministers from around the world, including China and the U.S., are expected to call for an independent evaluation of the World Health Organization's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic during a WHO meeting on Monday.

Already rocky U.S.-China relations also saw tensions increase over the weekend, as the United States raised threats over telecoms equipment giant Huawei Technologies and China's treatment of journalists in Hong Kong.

U.S. lawmakers and officials are crafting proposals to push American companies to move operations or key suppliers out of China, including tax breaks, new rules, and carefully structured subsidies.

Japan's preliminary GDP data showed that the world's third biggest economy contracted an annualised 3.4% in the first quarter, slipping into a recession for the first time in more than five years. [nL4N2CX16Y]

But hopes of a worldwide economic recovery saw oil prices climb by more than $1 a barrel on Monday, supported by output cuts.

Brent crude reached as much as $34.35 a barrel on Monday, its highest since April 9, and was last up 5.3% at $34.22 (LCOc1). U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (CLc1) was up 7.1% at $31.51 a barrel - a two-month high.

In commodity markets, the flood of liquidity from central banks, combined with record-low interest rates and poor economic data from the U.S., lifted gold to a seven-year peak. The metal was last up 1.3% at $1,763 an ounce

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The MSCI (NYSE:MSCI) world equity index (MIWD00000PUS), which tracks shares in 49 countries, was up around 0.4% while MSCI's main European Index <.MSER> was up 2%.

Government bond yields edged higher across the euro area, while France's bonds saw some underperformance after its ratings outlook was lowered by Fitch Ratings.

Europe's biggest budget airline, Ryanair, reported a 13% rise in profit for the year to March 31 (I:RYA), but cut its annual passenger traffic target by a further 20% and said it had "no visibility" on customer demand once it reopens much of its network on July 1. Ryanair shares were last up 10.4%.

The dollar fell slightly against a basket of six major currencies in early London trading before recovering somewhat, last down less than 0.1% since New York's close (DXY).

The Norwegian crown was lifted by the rising oil prices, up around 0.8% versus the euro (EURNOK=D3).

Sterling fell below $1.21 - its lowest since March 26 - late on Sunday after the Bank of England's chief economist said the bank is looking more urgently at options such as negative interest rates.

It was last up 0.25% on the day at $1.2130, as a lack of progress in Brexit negotiations continue to weigh on the pound.

Latest comments

The big question is why in the world is GOLD going up? The answer is because it is just another manipulated stock
no trust anything in these days.. Trump's popularity for all (fed) costs..
The absurdity in these articles and headlines is due to the fact that the writers here feel the need to explain the movements in the markets at all costs. Regardless of market moving up or down, they just HAVE to try to explain why it's doing that, even if it's a complete shot in the dark. This is why when the markets go the other direction the next day, their previous headlines seem stupid but they don't care. As long as they are able to give some reason to explain the market movements of the last 2-4 hours, they are good. I guess they feel like people just forget the headlines in a few hours or this is the way they get more clicks and $$$.
Odd title. Dragged higher makes it sound like a chore instead of a good thing. The whole idea of waves of shutdowns and reboots is nuts. There are plenty of things with more long lasting, severe health effects like heart problems. Wish all that lost money was dumped there and for cancer research instead of something that can be essentially fixed through herd immunity alone.
I vote for you and your family be part of the herd
We'd rather face our fears and become infected than to walk around losing our freedoms like the herd of sheep you belong to.
Already have. I never said I wanted people hurt, only that the reaction to the virus has been overblow.
Why do people take these articles so seriously? It’s an objective news source reporting various ideas and opinions. If the media reported only your opinions it wouldn’t be news at all.
&quot;stirred hopes the world was nearer to emerging from recession&quot; wut? it even hasn't started yet :D the writer should find a new job :D
El capricho de los inversores alcistas, haciendo caso omiso a la contracción más profunda desde la Gran Depresión, siguen apostando a los Indices Americanos. Claro, mientras las maquinas de imprimir papelitos de los Bancos Centrales continúen inyectando liquidez ficticia, la fiesta continuará. Tal es el volumen de avalancha de liquidez que hasta el oro sube a la par de los indices. Un absurdo, típico del comportamiento en manada. El castañazo será histórico...
Ante todo, tu mensaje es tu deseo pesimista que el mundo fracase. Buena suerte en tu entierro.
Wair! The always wrong leftist said no V and 12-18months?
stock market got nowhere to go but up. inflation tends to hit the equity market before anywhere else. if that's not going to work, central banks around the globe will continue to pump up their own market.
toyota profit down 80%.. equities will make new lows this year.. take that to the bank
I think they are a little overly optimistic on coming out of a recession. Coming out of a coma verse a full recovery are two different things. Have to crawl then walk and then run. I think they’re skipping a step or two.
The Fed's printing press is giving a lot of people false hope.  Like a shot of amphetamines, the come down will hit hard.
Living a lie is what humans fo best. Markets only price in bad news and never price in fantasies. If you ask people to face the harsh reality, they would freak out, so they rather keep telling themselves everything will be just fine.
&quot;The economies of Europe and the U.S. likely bottomed out in April and are slowly starting to come back to life,&quot; wrote Barclays (LON:BARC) economist Christian Keller in a note. &quot;However, incoming data from most economies highlight the depth of the contraction, raising risks of longer-term scarring that might undermine the recovery.&quot; Big joke. Who writes this *****
why is it funny?
 markets react on &quot;likely&quot; not on &quot;incoming data&quot;
 Because of what perplexed76 described, exactly to the T.
Nearer to emerging from the recession? We haven't even seen the worst of yet, and we are emerging from it? HA HA HA, these articles are a freakin riot.
fools
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