Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Asian markets a reluctant spectator to U.S. political theater

Published 12/23/2018, 09:47 PM
Updated 12/23/2018, 09:47 PM
© Reuters. Pedestrians are reflected in a window in front of a board displaying stock prices at the Australian Securities Exchange in Sydney

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian stocks were subdued on Monday as investors fretted that political instability in the United States was leaving the country rudderless at a time when the global economy was showing signs of faltering.

Moves were limited by a holiday in Japan while many bourses are set to close early for Christmas. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) lost 0.5 percent to its lowest in seven weeks.

Yet Chinese blue chips (CSI300) managed to edge up 0.2 percent, while E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 (ESc1) recouped early losses to rise 0.4 percent.

U.S. President Donald Trump's budget director and chief of staff on Sunday said the partial U.S. government shutdown could continue into January, when the new Congress convenes and Democrats take over the House of Representatives.

Trump on Sunday said he was replacing Defense Secretary Jim Mattis two months early, a move officials said was driven by the president's anger at Mattis' resignation letter and its rebuke of his foreign policy.

Sources also told Reuters Trump has privately discussed the possibility of firing Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, a move that would likely roil financial markets.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin felt it necessary to personally call the heads of the six largest U.S. banks to calm nerves and made plans to convene a group of officials known as the "Plunge Protection Team."

"It provides more than enough fodder for perceptions of chaos and instability in the White House," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at NAB.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"At the same time, the government shutdown offers a true foretaste of what lies ahead once the new Congress in sworn in on January 3."

GLOBAL SLOWDOWN

The political uncertainty has only added to the air of risk aversion, punishing equities to the benefit of bonds.

The Nasdaq (IXIC) has fallen nearly 22 percent from its Aug. 29 high and into bear territory, while the S&P 500 (SPX) was on track for its worst December since the Great Depression.

At the same time 10-year Treasury yields were near their lowest since August at 2.79 percent

The gap between two- and 10-year yields has shrunk to only 14 basis points, a flattening of the curve that has sometimes heralded economic turning points in the past.

"Many of the financial and economic indicators that turn first around business cycle peaks are now flashing red in advanced economies," warned Simon MacAdam, global economist as Capital Economics.

"This is consistent with our view that the recent loss of momentum in the world economy will develop into a more severe slowdown in 2019."

The flight to safe havens was again boosting the Japanese yen, with the dollar near a three-month trough at 111.02 yen

It fared better on the euro, which was undermined by a run of poor data out of Europe. The single currency hovered at $1.1376 (EUR=), after being as high as $1.1485 last week.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar index was a shade softer at 96.835 (DXY).

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

In commodity markets, gold held near its recent six-month peak as the dollar eased and the threat of higher U.S. interest rates waned. Spot gold

Oil prices were near their lowest since the third quarter of 2017, having shed no less than 11 percent last week. [O/R]

U.S. crude was last unchanged at $45.59 a barrel, while Brent (LCOc1) dipped 12 cents to $53.70.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.