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U.S.-China trade war boosts Brazil local soy prices, spurs deals

Published 08/07/2019, 03:01 PM
Updated 08/07/2019, 03:01 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Trains carrying soybeans are seen near the port of Paranagua in the southeastern Brazilian city of Curitiba

By Roberto Samora and Ana Mano

SAO PAULO (Reuters) - The price of Brazilian soybeans in local currency reached the highest level in almost two months, driven by a spike in port premiums for soybeans and a weaker currency, both caused by the trade dispute between China and the United States.

Prices in Sorriso, at the heart of Brazil's soy country in the state of Mato Grosso, closed at 62.31 reais ($15.67) per bag on Tuesday, 0.81% above the previous day and the highest level since June 18, according to price research center Cepea/Esalq.

Brazil's port premiums at Paranaguá rose to $1.35 over Chicago futures on Tuesday after the United States escalated the war against China, the world's largest soy importer, which responded by halting all deals for U.S. farm products.

Brazil port premiums have soared 70% from June 16, Refinitiv data shows, reaching the highest level since November 2018.

Camilo Motter, a grain broker in Paraná state, said that the combination of a weak Brazilian real and high port premiums were boosting values for soybeans in the domestic market, when considering reais per 60-kg bags.

The Brazilian currency fell almost 5% against the dollar this month to almost four to the greenback on Wednesday (BRBY).

Lucílio Alves, a grains analyst with Cepea/Esalq, said Chinese demand is likely to rise. "After the escalation of the trade war, they will probably focus on Brazil and even cancel U.S. soybean purchases," he said.

Brazilian farmers are taking the opportunity to sell old crop soy and also to clinch some deals to sell next year's crop that they will start to plant next month, according to producers association Aprosoja.

"The producer waits for moments like this," said Bartolomeu Braz Pereira, head of Aprosoja, adding that some farmers have also boosted barter deals with suppliers of fertilizers and agrochemicals, already looking to guarantee inputs for the next crop, and taking advantage of better relative prices for the beans.

"Yesterday and today, grain traders called bidding for future soy, but forward sales remain slow," said Antônio Galvan, a Mato Grosso farmer, adding he has no old crop left to sell.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Trains carrying soybeans are seen near the port of Paranagua in the southeastern Brazilian city of Curitiba

Brazil is expected to increase soybean planted area by 2.3% in the new season, tilling a total of 36.7 million hectares, according to a Reuters poll.

Latest comments

tump make our homework on the right way
so do what china does to the US. sell to brazil and ship to china like china sells to mexico to ship to the US. pretty simple fix
Brazil doesnt need to buy from the US and would be crazy to. They profit the loss the US is taking because of the tariffs.
We should find more trading partners on this side of the globe. South America is wide open for this! Who needs to build up China’s military anyways? That’s what most of that 568 billion trade surplus was going to . China was using our capital gains to build the man made military islands in their southern China seas and they were building ballistic mid range nuclear missles with the funds! That’s is why we had to walk away from the mid-range nuclear treaty with Russia so we could build them to help protect our aircraft carriers! Duh!!! China left us no other real choices Period. We had to cut off all of their blood money that we allowed them to make! Thank God for Donald J Trump putting America first!!!
Let me guess, you get all your news from 8chan and Trump's Twitter feed? Please educate yourself on some reality.
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