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Wall St opens higher as bets on big rate hikes ease after inflation data

U.S. dollar net long bets rise, bitcoin posts largest net long since CME launch -CFTC, Reuters

Forex Apr 29, 2022 05:16PM ET
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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar notes are seen in this November 7, 2016 picture illustration. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Speculators' net long positioning on the U.S. dollar rose in the latest week, according to calculations by Reuters and U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday.

The value of the net long dollar position climbed to $13.92 billion for the week ended April 26, from $12.91 billion the previous week. This week's U.S. dollar net long positioning was the largest since early April, and the first increase in four weeks.

The dollar gained sharply in the month of April, surging nearly 5% for its largest monthly percentage gain since January 2015.

"There remain some rather surprising aspects of the data, however, which - at the very least - suggest that the U.S. dollar's bull move may have further to run because it does not appear as if investors have fully participated in the dollar's near 5% rally over the past month," said Scotiabank in a report after the release of the CFTC data.

The greenback has benefited from safe-haven bids in the midst of the war in Ukraine, lifted as well by higher U.S. interest rates as the Federal Reserve embarks on an aggressive rate tightening cycle to stamp out inflation.

Data also showed euro net longs fell in the latest week to 22,201 contracts, which Scotiabank said was a surprise given the geopolitical and monetary policy risks in the euro zone. The single European currency dropped 4.7% for the month of April, its worst monthly performance since January 2015.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin futures posted their largest net long position since the contract was launched in 2018. For the week of April 26, net longs in bitcoin rose to 412 contracts, compared with net shorts of 194 in the previous week, CFTC data showed.

Bitcoin has stabilized within the $37,000-$40,000 range, with the Ukraine war, soaring inflation, and Fed rate hikes as backdrop. The world's largest cryptocurrency in terms of market capitalization has behaved more like a risk asset.

So far this year, bitcoin has fallen roughly 17% versus the dollar. It was last down 3.1% at $38,532.

Japanese Yen (Contracts of 12,500,000 yen)

$9.387 billion

26 Apr 2022 Prior week

week

Long 14,269 12,723

Short 109,804 119,910

Net -95,535 -107,187

EURO (Contracts of 125,000 euros)

$-2.952 billion

26 Apr 2022 Prior week

week

Long 222,993 221,003

Short 200,792 189,702

Net 22,201 31,301

POUND STERLING (Contracts of 62,500 pounds sterling)

$5.47 billion

26 Apr 2022 Prior week

week

Long 40,436 36,811

Short 110,057 95,725

Net -69,621 -58,914

SWISS FRANC (Contracts of 125,000 Swiss francs)

$1.671 billion

26 Apr 2022 Prior week

week

Long 4,455 2,900

Short 17,324 14,350

Net -12,869 -11,450

CANADIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Canadian dollars)

$-1.628 billion

26 Apr 2022 Prior week

week

Long 48,787 44,063

Short 27,906 22,837

Net 20,881 21,226

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Aussie dollars)

$1.969 billion

26 Apr 2022 Prior week

week

Long 47,105 39,201

Short 74,756 68,038

Net -27,651 -28,837

MEXICAN PESO (Contracts of 500,000 pesos)

$-0.493 billion

26 Apr 2022 Prior week

week

Long 67,389 73,710

Short 47,263 52,046

Net 20,126 21,664

NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 New Zealand dollars)

$-0.004 billion

26 Apr 2022 Prior week

week

Long 22,085 19,081

Short 22,019 18,716

Net 66 365

U.S. dollar net long bets rise, bitcoin posts largest net long since CME launch -CFTC, Reuters
 

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Alan Rice
Alan Rice Apr 30, 2022 12:48PM ET
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Yeah. With BC, Its all about the "bets".
 
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