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Euro's gains support Asian currencies after ECB stimulus

ForexJun 04, 2020 08:40PM ET
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© Reuters. 50 and 20 Euro banknotes are displayed in this picture illustration

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO (Reuters) - The euro held big gains on Friday after the European Central Bank expanded its stimulus more than expected to prop up an economy dealing with its worst recession since World War Two.

The euro's gains helped support appetite for riskier currencies in Asia with the Australian dollar holding gains and the Hong Kong dollar higher.

The ECB increased its emergency bond purchase scheme by 600 billion euros, more than 500 billion expected by markets, to 1.35 trillion and extended the scheme to mid-2021.

The euro fetched $1.1338 (EUR=), having risen to as high as $1.1362 on Thursday, its loftiest level in almost three months. Its March 9 peak of $1.1495 is now seen as a next possible target. On the week, the single currency has risen 2.1% and is set to clinch a third straight week of gains.

Investor confidence in the currency has grown also after Germany last month threw its weight behind the idea of a European Union recovery fund, breaking away from its long-held tradition to resist moves towards fiscal integration in the currency bloc.

"Recent actions by both the EU Commission, as well as the ECB have reduced tail risks around the euro area economic outlook," said Zach Pandl, co-head of Global foreign exchange at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) in New York.

"Europe's main challenge is its incomplete fiscal policy architecture. However, European institutions are making important changes to correct those weaknesses. And those include the ECB’s bond purchases as well as the EU recovery fund proposal, which we think will go a long way towards improving fiscal policy coordination in euro area," he added.

Against the yen, the common currency changed hands at 123.710 (EURJPY=), having risen to a 13-month high overnight.

On the Swiss franc, another safe have currency, it hit a five-month high of 1.0861 (EURCHF=) on Thursday and last stood at 1.0830.

The dollar index (=USD) is on course for its third consecutive week of losses at 96.743, the lowest levels in nearly three months.

The dollar traded at 109.11 yen , off two-month high hit in U.S. trade. Unwinding bets on safe-haven currencies reflected broad optimism in financial markets as easing social distancing restrictions supported economic recovery hopes.

The U.S. weekly jobless claims report showed the number of Americans filing for benefits dropped below 2 million last week for the first time since mid-March, even though that is still three times larger than their peak during the global financial crisis.

Official U.S. employment data due later on Friday is expected to show nonfarm payrolls fell by 8 million in May after a record 20.537 million plunge in April.

The unemployment rate is forecast to rocket to 19.8%, a post-World War Two record, from 14.7% in April.

Still investors are betting governments' stimulus around the world and the development of a vaccine for the COVID-19 will help the economy quickly bounce back from those dismal levels.

The Australian dollar , often seen as a risk proxy in the currency market, stood at $0.6947, having hit a five-month high of $0.6987 on Thursday.

The Hong Kong dollar rose to 7.7500 per U.S. dollar, the strong end of its 7.75-7.85 trading band, for the first time since May 21, prompting the Hong Kong Monetary Authority to intervene in the market.

The gains came even amid rising worries about the future of the city after China's move last month to impose national security legislation.

Hong Kong police on Thursday pepper-sprayed some protesters who defied a ban to stage candlelight rallies in memory of China's bloody 1989 Tiananmen Square (NYSE:SQ) democracy crackdown.

Euro's gains support Asian currencies after ECB stimulus
 

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