EUR/CZK: Inflation data and CNB minutes to shape monetary policy outlook

Published 07/04/2025, 06:37 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com - The Czech Republic takes center stage in Central and Eastern European markets Tuesday as investors await June inflation data and minutes from the Czech National Bank’s (CNB) latest meeting.

Economists expect Czech inflation to jump from 2.4% to 2.9% year-over-year in June, aligning with market consensus, though some surveys indicate potential downside risks while others see upside possibilities. The June inflation reading is considered particularly significant as it’s expected to represent the peak for summer months.

CNB Governor Aleš Michl reinforced the central bank’s cautious stance in a Monday interview, reiterating that the board may maintain current interest rates for an extended period. This follows his confirmation at last week’s press conference that the bank intentionally adopted more hawkish language in its communications.

The minutes from the CNB’s most recent monetary policy meeting, set for release Tuesday, are widely anticipated to contain hawkish messaging consistent with recent official statements. Market participants will scrutinize the document for additional insights into the central bank’s thinking on inflation risks and policy direction.

The Czech koruna (CZK) could strengthen further based on these developments, potentially approaching the 24.500 level against the euro if both the inflation data and meeting minutes deliver the expected hawkish signals.

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