Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Dollar slides as U.S. job data dents Fed tightening outlook; yuan on back foot

Published 12/09/2018, 11:57 PM
Updated 12/09/2018, 11:57 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Dollar banknotes are seen through printed stock graph in this illustration

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar slid almost half a percent against the euro and the yen on Monday after soft U.S. payrolls data fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop raising interest rates after a highly likely move next week.

The Chinese yuan dipped after weak trade and inflation data over the weekend, while the British pound hit an 11-week low against the euro as Prime Minister Theresa May's deal to exit the European Union looks set to be rejected by parliament on Tuesday.

"We have rising tensions between the United States and China over Huawei and the Brexit vote in the UK parliament. The risk-off mood is likely to prevail for now," said Kyosuke Suzuki, director of forex at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).

The dollar fell 0.4 percent against the yen to 112.30

U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 155,000 jobs last month, below economists' median forecast of 200,000 jobs and the wage increase was softer than expected even though its annual rise remained near the highest level in almost a decade.

Some Fed policymakers have struck a cautious tone about the economic outlook, possibly flagging a turning point in its monetary policy.

Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said on Friday the economic picture was broadly positive but that risks were growing overseas and in the corporate debt markets at home.

St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard repeated his call for the Fed to pause its current cycle of interest rate increases.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"The Fed will surely raise rates this month but people were thinking that it could indicate that it won't be in a hurry to hike them further. Such wariness have grown further after the data," said Akinori Fukushima, chief manager of forex at Mitsubishi Trust and Banking.

Investors are growingly worried that rising tensions with China could took a toll on the U.S. economy.

Although U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping struck a 90-day truce on tariffs earlier this month, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said on Sunday there is a "hard deadline", noting U.S.-China trade negotiations need to reach a successful end by March 1.

New tensions between the two countries flared last week after Meng Wanzhou, chief financial officer of China's tech giant Huawei Technologies was arrested in Vancouver at the request of the United States.

As the dollar wilted, the euro edged up 0.5 percent to $1.1435 (EUR=), even as "yellow vest" anti-government protesters wreaked havoc in Paris during the weekend.

French President Emmanuel Macron will address the country at 2000 Paris time (1900 GMT) on Monday as he seeks to placate the protesters.

In London, Theresa May faces an internal revolt against her Brexit deal ahead of the crucial vote in the parliament on Tuesday. Despite the bleak outlook, May plans to push ahead with the vote while senior lawmakers in her own party piled pressure on her to go back to Brussels and seek a better offer.

A rejection could throw plans for Britain's exit into turmoil and leave her own political future hanging in the balance.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Against the dollar, the British pound

"I'd say a rejection is almost priced in and the focus is on by how much margin she would lose. The chance of May's government getting toppled increases if there is a large revolt," said Mitsubishi Trust's Fukushima.

The Chinese yuan was on the defensive to after weak data pointed to a further cooling in the world's second-biggest economy.

China's November exports rose just 5.4 percent from a year earlier, the weakest performance since a contraction in March and well short of the 10 percent forecast in a Reuters poll, adding to evidence that demand is weakening globally.

Import growth was 3 percent, the slowest since October 2016, and a fraction of the 14.5 percent seen in the poll.

The downbeat trade data reinforced views that Chinese authorities will have to roll out more support and stimulus measures soon to stabilize the economy, even if a trade deal with Washington is reached.

The yuan last stood flat at 6.8895 to the dollar

(Graphic: World FX rates in 2018 - http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh)

(The story is refiled to add name to quote in the third paragraph.)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.