Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Dollar pinned down after decade-low U.S. manufacturing data

Published 10/01/2019, 08:49 PM
Updated 10/01/2019, 08:51 PM
Dollar pinned down after decade-low U.S. manufacturing data

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Worries about a slowing U.S. economy and the possibility of further interest rate cuts in the wake of weak U.S. manufacturing data kept the dollar pinned down on Wednesday, as investors sought safety elsewhere.

An apparent early-morning North Korean missile test only reinforced the flight, nudging the Japanese yen, Swiss franc and gold slightly higher.

Data released overnight showed the U.S. manufacturing sector contracted in September to its weakest level in more than a decade and sent the greenback sharply lower from a more than two-year high.

It nursed those losses on Wednesday, drifting down to 0.9923 Swiss francs , after broaching parity, and falling slightly to 107.64 yen .

The dollar was marginally weaker at $1.0940 per euro (EUR=) and fell against the Australian and New Zealand dollars , retracing some of its large Tuesday gains, while the equities market tumbled.

The Institute for Supply Management had said its index of U.S. factory activity fell to 47.8, the lowest reading since June 2009. A figure below 50 signals the domestic factory sector is contracting.

"While the data... represented a negative surprise in the sense that it came in below consensus expectations, in other ways the industrial slowdown is not a surprise at all," BNY Mellon analysts said in a note, pointing to Sino-U.S. trade tensions and signs of a slowdown around the world.

The manufacturing number is a bad omen for September U.S. labour figures due on Friday, since moves are often correlated, the bank said.

BNY Mellon said that while the Fed "stubbornly" feels rates are appropriate for an economy that continues to perform well, "it will ultimately have to accept that the pillars of support - the labor market and the consumer - are weakening."

Against a basket of currencies (DXY) the dollar was slightly weaker at 99.087, after hitting a two-year high of 99.667 overnight.

The pound drifted lower to $1.2296. That has it heading back towards an almost one-month low hit overnight as traders are increasingly nervous about Britain crashing out of the European Union at the end of the month.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson will unveil his final Brexit offer to the European Union on Wednesday and make clear that Britain intends to leave the EU on Oct. 31, no matter what.

The Australian dollar, which hit its lowest in a decade on Tuesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates and kept the possibility of further easing alive, bounced a little to $0.6708. But few are expecting a sustained rise.

"A comparison of yesterday's and September's post‑meeting RBA statement suggests yesterday's statement is, if anything, slightly more dovish," said Joe Capurso, senior currency strategist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney.

"We expect the RBA to cut the cash rate again in February 2020," he said.

Trading could be subdued in Asia on Wednesday time because China's financial markets are closed until Monday for public holidays. In offshore trade, the Chinese yuan was steady at 7.1448 per dollar.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.