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Dollar bogged at two-year low as Fed maintains dovish script

ForexJul 29, 2020 09:55PM ET
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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker at a bank in Westminster

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar was mired at a more than two-year low on Thursday as the Federal Reserve repeated a pledge to limit damage from the pandemic as surging new coronavirus cases hamper the economy.

The Fed's policy statement released at the close of its two-day meeting directly tied the economic recovery to an end the coronavirus health crisis.

"We think September and November meetings will be more eventful, with the (Federal Open Market Committee) expected to conclude its framework review in September and then amend its forward guidance and possibly adjust its inflation-targeting strategy," said Mike Swell, head of Global Fixed Income Portfolio Management, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) Asset Management in New York.

The dollar has been tumbling on expectations that the Fed will continue its ultra loose monetary policy for years to come and on speculation that it will allow inflation to run higher than it has previously indicated before raising interest rates.

The dollar index (=USD) fell 0.52% on Wednesday and steadied at around 93.275, its lowest in more than two years. The dollar traded at 104.97 yen , having fallen to 4-1/2-month low of 104.77 hit in previous trade.

The greenback weakness supported the euro at $1.1792 (EUR=). The common currency had hit a two-year high of $1.1807 and is on course to post its biggest monthly gain in 10 years, having risen about 5% so far this month.

Sterling also held firm against the dollar at $1.2998 , just below Wednesday's 4-1/2-month high of $1.3013.

The dollar's decline came as investors started to doubt the conventional wisdom that U.S. economic growth and investment returns from the U.S. currency would be higher than many other countries.

The U.S. epidemic has intensified since June, with an average of around 65,000 new cases detected each day, putting a brake on the rebound in economic activity and dashing hopes of V-shaped recovery.

A government report due out later in the day is expected to show a record 34% drop in annualised economic output last quarter.

Adding to investor alarm, U.S. congressional Republicans and Democrats were struggling to reach a deal on stimulus and slid toward letting a $600-per-week unemployment benefit lapse when it expires this week.

Elsewhere, the Turkish lira dropped to a 2-1/2-month low against the dollar and a record low versus the euro , on rising concerns over depleted reserves and local demand for dollars despite state efforts to stabilise trading.

Dollar bogged at two-year low as Fed maintains dovish script
 

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Dan Hodel
Dan Hodel Jul 29, 2020 10:41PM ET
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Trump doesn’t care about the dollar. All of his loans from russia are in rubles.
 
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