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No 'V'-shape return from devastating U.S. job loss, Fed policymakers say

Published 05/08/2020, 07:55 PM
Updated 05/09/2020, 05:20 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The Federal Reserve Board building on Constitution Avenue is pictured in Washington

By Ann Saphir

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - As many parts of the world's biggest economy begin to reopen after weeks of stay-at-home orders that slowed the spread of the coronavirus but gutted jobs, Americans should not expect a quick return to growth, U.S. Federal Reserve officials said on Friday.

"A couple months ago I was optimistic, I was hopeful, that maybe we would have a 'V'-shaped recovery - shut things down, clamp down on the virus, and then have a quick recovery," Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari said in an interview on the PBS Newshour.

The virus has continued to spread across the nation, with nearly 1.3 million people infected so far and more than 77,000 dead.

With a vaccine and effective treatment unlikely for a year or two, "we are in for unfortunately a slow, long recovery" from "devastating" job losses, Kashkari said.

The U.S. economy shed a record 20.5 million jobs in April due to the lockdowns imposed by states and local governments to curb the spread of the novel coronavirus, a Labor Department report showed Friday. (For an interactive graphic please see: https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ECONOMY/JOBS/yxmpjojxqvr)

Interviewed by Fox News on Friday, U.S. President Donald Trump said that the jobs will be back. "They’ll be back very soon, and next year we are going to have a phenomenal year,” he said.

That's not the dominant view at the Fed, which has slashed interest rates to zero, bought trillions of dollars of bonds and extended credit to local governments and businesses in an effort to prevent financial markets from imploding and keep the economy from even worse devastation.

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San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who appeared on CNN an hour later, said the Fed's unprecedented actions, along with nearly $3 trillion committed by the U.S. Congress for rescue efforts, should help.

"What I'm hoping in the baseline is we can come back safely, we listen to public health officials, we take it slow but gradual...if we do those things and we reenter safely, then I expect us to have positive growth in 2021," Daly said.

Asked if it could take 10 or 12 years to repair the job market, as it did after the 2007-2009 financial crisis, she said, "I'm working night and day to ensure that doesn't happen."

But the economy can't rev up too quickly, not as long as the virus is still loose, she said.

"When the coronavirus is behind us, we can reengage fully," Daly said, noting. "It won't be quick; in my opinion, it won't be 'V'-shaped, it will be gradual."

 

Latest comments

she, like everyone else preaching false hope, is delaying the reality.
why was this news not published on Friday!!! media manipulation?
Sers/Mars covids have been around for many years already and we never shut down for them. Those diseases also never got a vaccine and yet Life moved on and a recession never happened which means that history will repeat and it wont happen especially when people wake up from all the fakenews fear mongering. The economy was flipped of like a light switch and will turn back on the same way. A V recover is the only recovery and anyone who thinks otherwise will blowup their bear accounts.
We may b in a long recession.
Fed is self serving criminal factory. Their only skill is theft
this means that they will let short make money from now. PPT is over
They don't even mention all the job losses still to come, its gonna get a whole lot worse.
So this means they will be too aggressive with monetary, therefore we will have a V Shaped recovery
Let me know how that pipe dream works out for you
But the stock market says different. Sole stocks at all timeHighs. Very embarassing to be the fed and govt right now. Insult to the american people
so two months of craziness can destroy the economy, I went without work for 6 months and I have to say... it took me about 1.5 years to recover so there maybe something there.
It is different. A train without an engine cant run. A train car(u) is fine if the car is attached to an engine.
There is a "V-Shape", all US indexes are in "V-Shape" ATM. How sustainable is that we'll see in the coming weeks/months! XD
US managed this pandemic like a 3rd world country
Yep mass graves, rotton bodies in trucks and corrupt president
china are the only ones 2 blame
Time for a stock rock bottom next weekIt will come in a flash
With all these extra benefits and eviction bans, people at bottom of society will never want to look for jobs.
I don't think so, but it would be good for them to not agitate themselves producing useless stuff just to be able to buy other useless stuff.
60%+ of these jobs will take years to come back.
China MUST pay for every lost dime! $3T minimum! They did this to the world, and they know it!
What a sad comment
Trumps administration is incapable. They were slow, ineffective. Just lies and assumptions. even India has managed this pandemic better than Trump, and this is really sad.
Govt.screened visitors from China but not those from Europe. virus got through from Europe
My only question..who is going to pay for all this? My great-great grandchildren.
Everyone who holds dollars and dollar denominated debt. The dollar must loose in value in the future, there is no other way out.
 Start buying Bitcoin, Silver and Gold
you'll pay with your net asset's, in case you have some..
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