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Recovery Picks Up Pace, but No End in Sight for Inflation: Fed's Beige Book

Published 06/02/2021, 02:11 PM
Updated 06/02/2021, 02:24 PM
© Reuters.

By Yasin Ebrahim

Investing.com – The economic recovery continued to pick up pace, but the dearth of skilled labor and rising input prices are expected to continue in the months ahead, according to the Fed's Beige Book released Wednesday.

The central bank’s Beige Book economic report, based on anecdotal information collected by the Fed’s 12 reserve banks through May. 25, showed that while the economy continued its recovery, inflation and labor supply shortages have not ebbed.  

"The national economy expanded at a moderate pace from early April to late May, a somewhat faster rate than the prior reporting period," according to the Beige Book. Labor supply, meanwhile, is expected to remain "constrained in the months ahead ... [while] contacts anticipate facing cost increases and charging higher prices in coming months," it added.

The update on the labor market comes ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report due Friday. 

Continuing supply chain disruptions have propped up inflation, with many "contacts noting sharp increases in construction and manufacturing raw materials prices. Increases were also noted in freight, packaging, and petrochemicals prices," the report showed. But the strengthening in demand has allowed some businesses in sectors including manufacturers, builders, and transportation to pass much of the cost increases to their customers.

The fresh report on rising prices comes as the Federal Reserve has maintained its stance the sharp upturn in rising costs will prove temporary.  

Running the economy hot amid a tight labor market, however, is starting to have an impact on some businesses forced to rein in activity as demand for labor outpaces supply." The lack of job candidates prevented some firms from increasing output and, less commonly, led some businesses to reduce their hours of operation," the Fed's said in its Beige Book report.

The outlook on the consumer, the backbone of the U.S. economy, continues to lean positive as reopening continues. 

"The effects of expanded vaccination rates were perhaps most notable in consumer spending in which increases in leisure travel and restaurant spending augmented ongoing strength in other spending categories," according to the report.  

Latest comments

The virus has shown many realities, among others how low and unstable are services wages (specially hospitality services). Companies, in general, are offering the same wages than before the pandemic, that were at that moment low based on inflation and living cost. Right now companies want to blame the unemployment benefits, but they are not the main problem. The issue here is simple, low salaries, with low benefits and hard long working hours are the norm to keep the American machinery working. Inflation will add more problems, and is here to stay.
service workers will get their .45 cent an hour raise and can finally buy that newspaper they've been saving up for
companies outperform, residents suffer in whole world, all commodities, material prices are at all time high whereas there is loss of job and business everywhere due to which personal income is at low.dont know what they r planning in the hide of created pandemic
Why would there be an "End in Sight". This is the new reality. This is "Bidens America".
Prices of products and services will go up so companies can recover some of the losses of the past year. I am afraid however, that prices will never go down again
how do i do this
in other words: prices are increasing but they still have to increase even more.
but it still early even start thinking about thinking to end QE and lift the rate
you are conspiracy theorist,don't believe what you see
nice
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