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NewsBreak: Market More Confident of Rate Cut as Fed Decision Nears

Published 09/18/2019, 11:57 AM
Updated 09/18/2019, 12:07 PM
© Reuters.

Investing.com - Investors seem much more confident midday that the Federal Open Market Committee will cut rates by a quarter point this afternoon, based on a measure of fed funds futures contracts.

  • There is now about a 76% chance the FOMC will lower rates to a range of 1.75% to 2% from 2% to 2.25%, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool.

  • The probability of a quarter-point cut was at more than 90% just last week. But the odds dropped sharply this week, falling to below 50% at the close of stock trading Tuesday.

  • Stocks were lower ahead of the decision, with the S&P 500 off 0.3%. The 10-Year Treasury yield fell 0.058 to 1.756%.

    Latest comments

    What do you guys think will happen to oil?
    it will continue where it was... it was almost breaking out before the attacks and then sank back below it's trend line so probably range for a little bit but mostly negative for now
    i think gold price will go down,if rate cut by .25%...
    til the hype wears off and people fear a recession again next month
    You dont know what you talkin abouy
    usd dollar might drop out usdollar index
    mean market volatility...along with other countries releasing similar news
    How can we make profits regarding the fed statement?how does that affect gold & US stocks?
    Most of this 25 basis point was priced in gold at its highs now unless the fed cut another 25 pts so 50 pts will make it retest again its lates high 1550-55
    what does a 0.25% rate cut mean for DOW?  Up or Down?. what does a 0.50% rate cut mean for DOW?  Up or Down?. what does a no rate cut mean for DOW?
    Its priced in so its a tug of war now selloff then a rally
     . cheers mark
    How will this affect nasdaq?
    at 1pm the fin begins
    *fun
    fin fun about the same fin equal to the end lok
    Does this mean gold is going high
    I would also whant to know what will happen to Gold and silver
    if Fed cut rates then Dollar will go down so Gold n Silver mostly go high
    Thanks much appreciated
    Seriously????
    Bitcoin will hit $20k
    If only popular opinion reflected outcome....
    How the rate cut affect Oil
    Unlikely to cut, Fed does not want to use up toolbox so early
    use up toolbox? we could go negative and keep cutting. honestly, we should go negative since almost everyone else is. why are we paying people to hold our debt when Germany is being paid to have people hold theirs? on top of that, it's not like rate cuts are the only tool they have. we have plenty in the toolbox, and shouldn't be sitting on such an excess of tools to use. The FED is failing horribly. nothing but a 50 basis point cut and an apology for being so negligent as to raise rates three times as a trade war is starting. data dependency fails when trade war effects and currency manipulation are skewing the numbers.
    the negative bond rates are the quote if held to maturity..its not a negative coupon
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