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Wall Street ends in a hole after Powell's Wyoming speech

Published 08/26/2022, 07:35 AM
Updated 08/26/2022, 06:45 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2022.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

By David French

(Reuters) - Wall Street ended Friday with all three benchmarks more than 3% lower, as Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell's signal that the central bank would keep hiking rates to tame inflation nixed nascent hopes for a more modest path among some investors.

The Nasdaq led declines among the three U.S. benchmarks, registering its worst daily performance since June 16, weighed by high-growth technology stocks which tumbled after rallying the previous day in anticipation of Powell's scheduled speech to the Jackson Hole central banking conference in Wyoming.

The U.S. economy will need tight monetary policy "for some time" before inflation is under control, Powell said at the event. That means slower growth, a weaker job market and "some pain" for households and businesses, he added.

Investors knew further rate rises were coming, and they have been divided between whether a 75-basis-point and a 50-basis-point hike by the Fed was coming next month.

However, recent data highlighting continued strength in the labor market, to offset two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, had led to some speculating a more tempered pace of hikes could be forthcoming.

"The pushback is coming from the idea that it's not about the pace of hikes going forward and how they tighten financial conditions, it's about the duration of remaining at that restrictive policy stance," said Garrett Melson, portfolio strategist at Natixis Investment Managers.

"That's the nuance they are trying to push forward and Powell was, maybe, a bit more explicit in that today. But if you've listened to other Fed speakers in the last couple of weeks, it's the same message."

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The Fed's game plan: 'Raise and hold': https://tmsnrt.rs/3q3A3SR

With investors repositioning after absorbing the speech, the Cboe Volatility Index jumped 3.78 points to 25.56, its highest close in six weeks.

All the 11 major S&P 500 sectors were lower, led by declines of between 3.9% and 4.3% in the information technology, communication services and consumer discretionary indexes.

The S&P 500 lost 141.46 points, or 3.37%, to end at 4,057.66 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 497.56 points, or 3.94%, to 12,141.71. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1,008.38 points, or 3.03%, to 32,283.40.

High-growth and technology stocks dropped. Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Corp and Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) fell 9.2% and 4.8%, respectively, having led gainers in the previous session. Meanwhile, Google-parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Inc, Meta Platforms Inc, and Block Inc also dipped between 4.1% and 7.7%.

U.S. stock indexes have retreated since the turn of the year as investors priced in the expectation of aggressive interest rate hikes and a slowing economy.

But they have recovered strongly since June, with the S&P 500 recouping nearly half its losses for the year on stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings and hopes decades-high inflation has peaked.

However, Friday's falls wiped out the modest August gains which all three benchmarks had previously carved out, and sent the trio to their second straight week of declines.

For the week, the Nasdaq slid 4.4%, the Dow lost 4.2%, and the S&P 500 fell 4%.

Data earlier showed consumer spending barely rose in July, but inflation eased considerably, which could give the Fed room to trim its aggressive interest rate increases.

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Dell Technologies (NYSE:DELL) Inc fell 13.5% as it joined rivals in predicting a slowdown as inflation and the darkening economic outlook prompt consumers and businesses to tighten their purse strings.

Affirm Holdings Inc tumbled 21.3% after the buy-now-pay-later lender forecast full-year revenue below Wall Street estimates, underscoring the broader downturn in the fortunes of the once high-flying fintech sector.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.37 billion shares, compared with the 10.64 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

Latest comments

Powell purposely tanked the market and should be held accountable.
Powell and well, The Fed in general is one big joke 😂their legacy will live on as the whiner guys once the world becomes decentralized and the banking system is dead.
maybe next week will be ********as well. In SP500 u look to 3800 and 3600. if underneath, expect more bears, also the forecast is bad dfor next months
stop panicking and sit still
It seems they wanted to bring the market down. But I don't think it will get below 4000. Maybe a small rebound on Monday.
Expect another -3% on Monday. Powell’s “pain” warning is going to be true this time. No more cajoling the couched crypto traders. Back to real work and real wages soon is the message
5% minimum to clear the markets from all kinds of financial spongers
rather than keeping everyone in two minds, powell shud have charted the upcoming events and possible time frame of rate hikes. what he said only led to a knee jerk reaction and investors losing billions in one day. it seems like he did this intentionally to indirectly force people out of risk assets.
This friday many wallstreet gambler lose some money, it's their responsibility. But win in inflation war is good for Most of US citizens. FR has done their job in common sense.
Powell is today actually more dovish than expected, according to fedwatch.
This is the perfect time for Putin OPEC to reduce oil output to rub salt into the wounds and further pain.
On whom would you like to inflict pain and why?
David French and Bansari Mayur Kamdar
Very good!!! Very well writtenp
Yesterday's preemptive round of criminal manipulation nets a loss 50% of what it should have been today.   The flagrant intervention in this laughable "market" is truly a joke of the ages.
You whine about "criminal manipulation" everyday.  How can any day's be preemptive?
If this were true - and you are as brilliant yesterday as you are today - you would have positioned yourself to profit from this...or at least break even. I take it from you metaphor for the market that neither of my propositions about you are true...that you were not as brilliant yesterday as you are today, and that you not only lost money but lost more than you could afford. There's a better way to trade...
He nerds to be charged as manipulator i bet he is invested
It is now illegal (or is a matter of Federal Reserve policy, which is the same thing) for Federal Reserve Board Members to own interests in the private markets. Their pensions are taken care of by the US taxpayer and any financial interest in the markets they are entrusted to regulate would create a "conflict of interests." If this is the case, as you claim, you will need to provide a better argument than a badly worded and misspelled run-on sentence. Proof of your claim should not be difficult to find...so you're work is ahead of you.
Nasdaq rallied more than 20% by fr's unclear signal, today they make it clear where we stand, and only 3% drop today. It will go down super more untill be balanced to economic circumstances.
-3% per day is NOT average for Nasdaq.  Not under Biden, nor his predecessor..
I'm tired of Brandon and Trump comments here
2020 -6 -7 per day
"Don't fight with the Fed!"
It cam not be sais more clear ! Cheap money party game over ! Some people hear what thay want to hear, no matter what.
Americans.... Always panicking!
Fedwatch tool shows the opposite to what Powell suggests. The odds of 50 bps increased by about 4%. So, Powell is bluffing and jawboning, that's all.
It's as if the market expected 50 bps hike odds to increase to above 50%.
no fed rate hike ........wait n watch all is well
if inflation is 8 %, then interest rate should be the same. some big bank/real estate pain ahead..
So over 50% of GDP goes to interest then....insanity, that's nearly impossible.
Irving Fisher
  "over 50% of GDP goes to interest" --  I call bs.
Why woukd there be a tech route when no guidance of 50BPS or 75 was mentioned and we all knew their was a rate hike ! Hmmmmmmmm
it doesnt matter.  it never has mattered, as rates will continue to be hiked every meeting through 2023 until the economy is pummeled enough that inflation comes down.  rates are going up, way up so 25bps this coming month or next doesnt matter.  Q3, Q4 and probably Q1 2023 (mid-summer 2023) earnings and outlook are not going to be good.
fed it hiking rates and tightening monetary supply, accelerated to $90+B/mo in September so headwinds for stocks.
Investors form a big stakeholder in the economy and this has to be taken into consideration. If you open up the charts and see, market recovers very quickly from the points where people seem to consider the end of the world. DowJ has recovered 4000 points in the last month only despite so much that we have seen. this is how it has always worked. you need not baby cry on every dips. MARKETS DO NOT MOVE IN A STRAIGHT HOLY CANDLE.
@kris: "less and less foreign buyers of US treasuries." Is this your impression, or is there empirical information on this?
  Federal Debt Held by Foreign and International Investors from $7.75 trillion in Q4 2021 to $7.43 t in Q2 2022, down 4.1%
Thanks!
what is closing possibly %?
what is closing possibly %?
today?  NASDAQ probably closes -3%.   Monday through Friday it will continue.
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