Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Fed shows little appetite for bold policy change sought by Trump

Published 11/20/2019, 05:21 PM
Updated 11/20/2019, 05:21 PM
© Reuters. A man rides a bike in front of the Federal Reserve Board building on Constitution Avenue in Washington

By Ann Saphir

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - As U.S. Federal Reserve officials hone their monetary policy playbook in preparation for the next economic downturn, it appears they will eschew more controversial approaches tried by other global central banks, including one that President Donald Trump has called on the Fed to try.

Minutes of the Fed's late October meeting, released on Wednesday, show U.S. central bankers jettisoning any real consideration of using negative interest rates to stimulate the economy.

Trump has repeatedly urged the Fed to lower rates to below zero, arguing that negative rates in Europe and elsewhere give those countries a competitive advantage.

The minutes make clear that not only is the Fed unwilling to use negative rates now, when the U.S. economy is growing, but it is also deeply skeptical of their use even in a recession.

All 17 policymakers agreed that pushing borrowing costs below zero "did not appear to be an attractive monetary policy tool in the United States," according to the minutes.

Policymakers were also unenthusiastic about using bond-buying to target long-term rates, with some arguing that doing so could be seen as interfering with the Treasury's managing of the nation's debt, and others worried could balloon the Fed's balance sheet.

"The minutes gave the strong impression that the Fed will stick to the playbook of the Great Recession ... even though many members recognized that the power of these instruments will be lower than it used to be," wrote Roberto Perli, an economist at Cornerstone Macro.

The discussion was part of a broad review of the Fed's strategies for meeting its Congressional mandates of stable inflation and full employment.

The effort, begun early this year and expected to wrap up in mid-2020, has included extensive discussion of whether the Fed should revamp its approach to inflation so as to ensure it does not linger too long below its 2% goal.

Most Fed policymakers believe it may need to make some changes to ensure it has enough firepower to fight the next downturn. But some have raised doubts whether the process will lead to any wholesale changes in how the Fed conducts its business. [W1N27G00K]

Policymakers in October did discuss a range of ways to strengthen their existing policy tools, including how to beef up their use of forward guidance - interest-rate policies designed to encourage more investment and spending than otherwise.

© Reuters. A man rides a bike in front of the Federal Reserve Board building on Constitution Avenue in Washington

They also discussed how best to make their bond-buying effective, come next recession, but stopped short of reaching any conclusion.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.