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Fed rate hike could be half-point if needed, says Raphael Bostic - FT

Published 01/29/2022, 05:00 PM
Updated 01/29/2022, 05:05 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic participates in a panel discussion at the American Economic Association/Allied Social Science Association (ASSA) 2019 meeting in Atlanta, Georgia, U.S., January 4, 2019. REUTERS/Christop

(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve could supersize an interest rate increase to half a percentage point if inflation remains stubbornly high, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told the Financial Times in an interview.

Bostic stuck to his call for three quarter-point interest rate increases in 2022, with the first in March, but a more aggressive approach was possible if warranted by economic data, he told the newspaper on Friday.

"Every option is on the table for every meeting," Bostic told FT. "If the data say that things have evolved in a way that a 50 basis point move is required or [would] be appropriate, then I'm going to lean into that . . . . If moving in successive meetings makes sense, I'll be comfortable with that."

The Fed clearly telegraphed a March interest rate hike after its meeting last week. Fed funds futures, which track short-term rate expectations, are pricing nearly five rate increases of 25 basis points each this year, up from four expected hikes before that.

Latest comments

All Talk No Action. The Fed Chair categorically mentioned in Dec that he is not fastening taper any further then March coz the mkts react negatively to it !! What more does the country n press need to hear from fed that mkts are as primary a concern for fed as employments & inflation :)
The new NEWSPEAK. "transitory" for "next"... trying to cool down expectations.
raise half point, reduce a quarter immediately after.
The US Federal reserve is solely responsible for the Ukraine situation. The US Fed may have to slam the break really hard to avoid the Ukraine invasion and to send Russian troops and US stocks back to their home bases
You took quite the leap
Bostic is right. Once Powell is officially reappointed the rates rise the next day.
The fed balance sheet tightening worries me more than the rate hike especially if the fed does it at the same time, because real rates will remain negative.
Do the moon boys have enough free Xbox games and pizza yet? Is the market finally going to crash this week so they can go get real jobs? Or will the market keep running up so single moms can't afford basic nessecities while moon boys pamper themselves with gaming PCs? Sounds like a tough midterm issue. The majority of the voting base actually does not have a meaningful stock portfolio. Most of them would readily choose a crashing market over more inflation. Only gamblers and upper class really cling to market speculation for dear life.
Priority should be energy price control and supply chain -
International wholesale energy markets are controlled by supply and demand - no such thing as price control (some countries have domestic caps but very hard to set and maintain). You can attempt to increase supply by applying pressure on OPEC, but they tell the market they already doing all they can (plus demand is even higher now with winter snaps). If Russia invades Ukraine everything goes out the window. Recent numbers by JP Morgan said if Russia invades Ukraine, Global Oil could go up to $150+  a barrel. The last time's Oil got to $140+ a barrel was the 1979 oil crisis and in 2008 just before the financial crisis hit (both times oil spiked above $140 - the stock market collapsed in the prevailing period)
All talk no action
Every thing said is Talking Up The Dollar. That is the blood in the vains of the American economy.
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