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Dollar holds below two-month highs as Fed policy in focus

EconomyJun 24, 2021 03:41PM ET
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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An employee counts U.S. dollar bills at a money exchange in central Cairo, Egypt, March 20, 2019. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany/File Photo

By Karen Brettell

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar was steady on Thursday as investors evaluated the likelihood that the U.S. Federal Reserve will be more aggressive in stamping out high inflation if it persists, while the pound weakened after the Bank of England made no changes to its monetary policy.

Fed policymakers have been offering differing viewpoints on how long inflation is likely to stay high and when it will be appropriate to tighten monetary policy after the Fed last week surprised markets by forecasting two rate hikes in 2023.

The dollar index was little changed on the day against a basket of currencies at 91.790, holding below a two-month high of 92.408 reached on Friday after the Fed meeting.

“I do suspect we’ll have a little bit more consolidation and then some more dollar upside,” said Erik Nelson, a macro strategist at Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) in New York.

“The Fed put the market on notice with regards to its inflation target and new mandate, and really just the idea that they would be completely and resolutely dovish forever … so I think there’s more room for a shakeout here,” Nelson said.

On Thursday, two Fed officials warned that inflation could rise more than policymakers expect in the near term.

Other U.S. central bank policymakers said employment needs much more improvement after job losses during the pandemic.

Data showed fewer Americans filed new claims for unemployment benefits last week.

New orders for key U.S.-made capital goods unexpectedly fell in May, likely held back by shortages of some products.

The next major U.S. economic focus will be producer price data on Friday.

U.S. President Joe Biden on Thursday embraced a bipartisan Senate deal to spend hundreds of billions of dollars on building roads, bridges and highways.

Sterling slipped after the Bank of England said inflation would surpass 3% as Britain's locked-down economy reopens, but the climb further above its 2% target would only be "temporary" and most policymakers favored keeping stimulus full throttle.

“While the underlying tone was quite upbeat, and we do think that there was a clearer hawkish lean, it was not hawkish enough for those looking for a sharper turn after last week's FOMC meeting,” analysts at TD Securities said in a report on Thursday.

The British pound fell 0.26% to $1.3929.

The euro gained 0.03% on the day to $1.1932. German business morale rose more than expected in June and hit its highest level since November 2018, a survey showed.

The greenback gained to 111.11 Japanese yen overnight, the strongest since March 2020, before dropping back to 110.86, down 0.09% on the day. Data showed Japan's corporate services prices rose in May at the fastest annual pace in eight months.

Dollar holds below two-month highs as Fed policy in focus
 

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Comments (6)
adnan shaikh
adnan shaikh Jun 24, 2021 10:14PM ET
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Karen Brettell you know every where fake data put from fed sides . Why you not real analyses put in investing .com
Michael Dell
Michael Dell Jun 24, 2021 3:56PM ET
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Real Inflation is 20-25 percent,just ask the public who buys things daily
Sol Wein
Sol Wein Jun 24, 2021 3:50PM ET
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Amazing how Fed was begging for inflation to rise above 2%. You printed so much money and now you are above your target. How will you bring inflation back down when you know well that raising rates will destroy this pony economy
Kristof Naessens
Kristof Naessens Jun 24, 2021 1:49AM ET
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When they stop suppressing gold, the public will become aware of the real inflation numbers.
Notvery Goodathis
Peteymcletey Jun 23, 2021 11:41PM ET
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Real inflation is insanely high. Thanks to useless spending. fed printing press. and bonus unemployment checks incentivizing people to not work
Joel Schwartz
Joel Schwartz Jun 23, 2021 10:19PM ET
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Pull up the M2 money supply chart and tell me what’s mixed.
 
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