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Dollar set for second consecutive monthly loss vs euro and pound

EconomyMay 31, 2021 10:10AM ET
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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A U.S. Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken May 26, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo/File Photo

By Joice Alves

LONDON (Reuters) - The dollar came under pressure on Monday and was heading for its second consecutive monthly loss against the euro and the pound, as traders assessed the impact of a surge in U.S. inflation before monthly jobs data later this week.

With London and New York markets closed for a holiday, the dollar index of major currencies fell 0.1% to 90.044 at 1350 GMT

On Friday, data showing a key measure of U.S. inflation at a 29-year high briefly boosted the dollar to a two-week high.

The euro was flat at $1.2195, off Friday's low of $1.2133. The British pound edged 0.1% lower at $1.4173.

In holiday-thinned trade, investors weighed the impact on U.S. assets of rising price pressures and a dovish Fed. Despite rising inflation, markets don't expect a rate hike well into the back end of 2022.

The core PCE price index vaulted 3.1% on Friday, the largest annual gain since July 1992, due to a recovery from the pandemic and various supply disruptions.

The market considers current inflation levels in the U.S. to be transitional. Next year's U.S. inflation will remain at 2.5%, Ulrich Leuchtmann, Commerzbank’s head of FX and commodity research wrote in a note.

"That does not make it any easier pricing USD," he said. "Until we have more clarity the dollar is likely to have found a good balance at current levels".

Speculators increased their bets against the dollar last week with U.S. dollar short positions hitting a 2-1/2 month high.

Graphic: Dollar positions - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/jbyprgjxqve/Dollar%20positions.JPG

The Chinese yuan hit a three-year high against the dollar before falling back following a chorus of warnings from Chinese officials against speculative bets on the currency.

The offshore yuan changed hands at 6.3698 per dollar after touching overnight its highest since May 2018 of 6.3553 per dollar.

In volatile cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was 2.6% higher at $36,604. Ether rose 5.8% to $2,528.

The main event of the week will be U.S. payrolls on Friday with median forecasts at 650,000 but the outcome is uncertain following April's shockingly weak 266,000 gain.

Dollar set for second consecutive monthly loss vs euro and pound
 

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Comments (3)
Peemil Nicho
Peemil Nicho May 31, 2021 9:20PM ET
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each country have own national currency that express the nation uunique if they can't control crypto trade in the long run may loose the unique theirself ,crypto will replace.so must control the crypto trade before collapse of their currency,
Vlad Lozovskiy
Vlad Lozovskiy May 31, 2021 1:06PM ET
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Biden needs to print more of this "green paper"  there will be even more losses, which means his policies work!!! Lol lol lol
St Af
St Af May 31, 2021 12:21PM ET
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It is a clear signal from EU and UK that USA should raise interest rates.....which ,  All creditors to USA will benefit.......you know ! I will like to see Tomorrow,  how big the USA. Notes+Bonds Dumping Will Be....Beware Below.!
 
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