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U.S. dollar rises vs most currencies as Fed taper talk gathers pace

EconomySep 13, 2021 03:37PM ET
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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won/File Photo

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar climbed to a two-week peak against a basket of currencies on Monday, bolstered by expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve could reduce its asset purchases by the end of the year despite a surge in COVID-19 cases.

The greenback, however, came off its highs in afternoon trading.

The dollar index earlier rose to 92.887, its highest since Aug. 27. It was last up slightly at 92.664.

A round of U.S. economic data is due out this week, starting with consumer prices on Tuesday, which will give the latest update on how hot inflation has been ahead of next week's Fed meeting.

Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker became the latest official to say he wants the central bank to start tapering this year, saying in a Nikkei interview that he was keen to scale back asset purchases.

Tapering talk has boosted the dollar, said Erik Nelson, macro strategist at Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) Securities in New York.

"We noticed from the Fed communication that they would like to de-link the taper from the rate hike," Nelson said. "But it will take a lot of convincing and frankly a lot of time for the market to change its reaction function. For now, a taper timeline is closely linked to a rate hike timeline in the market."

Tapering typically lifts the dollar as it means a step toward tighter monetary policy. It also means the Fed will be buying fewer debt assets, which suggests there will be fewer dollars in circulation.

Graphic: Long USD positions - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/znpnebekyvl/Long%20USD%20positions.JPG

The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that Fed officials will seek an agreement to begin paring bond purchases in November.

Aside from inflation, U.S. retail sales and production figures are also scheduled for release this week.

"Another high CPI (consumer price index) reading this week in the face of weakening economic data could begin to paint the Fed into a corner as pressure mounts for stimulus normalization," said Christopher Vecchio, senior analyst at DailyFX.com, the research unit of forex broker IG.

The euro was among the currencies to lose ground to the dollar, dipping to $1.1770, its lowest in a little over two weeks, after the European Central Bank said last week it would start to trim its own emergency bond purchases. The euro was last down 0.1% at $1.1801.

Against the yen, the dollar was up 0.1% at 110 yen. The dollar also gained 0.5% versus the Swiss franc to 0.9228.

In the cryptocurrency market, bitcoin was down 2.8% at $44,762.

Litecoin, with a market cap of nearly $12 billion and one of the earliest digital currencies in circulation, fell 2.6% to $180.78, according to crypto data tracker CoinGecko, after Walmart (NYSE:WMT) Inc said a press release regarding the retailer's partnership with the cryptocurrency was fake.

Litecoin rose as much as 27.4% on the fake news.

U.S. dollar rises vs most currencies as Fed taper talk gathers pace
 

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Comments (3)
Ac Tektrader
Ac Tektrader Sep 13, 2021 7:39PM ET
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technicals always tell the real story when it comes to value.
Heine Pedersen
Heine Pedersen Sep 13, 2021 3:43AM ET
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Things are going a lot better in Europe than in USA.. But EUR/USD is sinking. So.. data means nothing today.. apparently
Vi Ma
Vi Ma Sep 13, 2021 2:26AM ET
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What investors but hopefully Not the Fed is missing to understand is, that with increasing Covid cases in US and the ROW, Global supply chains will continue to be clogged due to decreased production and no amount of infinite money can make that production increase but only decline in Covid Cases will as and when it happens.Hence, with this sudden realisation, (which a country like India always had and thereby chose sensibly the amount of monetary and fiscal help it extends to people, specifically keeping the production supply chains in mind), it becomes all the more imperative for all the central banks of the west to start pulling back the unprecedented liquidity gush in world markets since the start of the pandemic and suffer the bruising it causes in world stock markets, else SLOWEST growth & HIGHEST inflation could become the reality for next 2-3 years
Catharine Varady
Catharine Varady Sep 13, 2021 2:26AM ET
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i agree with your opinion, but the fed maybe too smart that it doesn't share same view. the fed knows to control the govt debt they need to print money, that is the basis of the fed statement and why indexes keep going up and usd keep sinking
 
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