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Biden Drives Yields Up, Tech Reversal, China Fines - What's up in Markets

Published 03/12/2021, 06:54 AM
Updated 03/12/2021, 06:55 AM
© Reuters

By Geoffrey Smith 

Investing.com -- President Joe Biden’s address pushes bond yields higher, China’s tech giants sell off after a warning shot from Beijing, and AstraZeneca (NASDAQ:AZN)’s vaccine runs into more problems. Here’s what you need to know in financial markets on Friday, March 12th.

1. Biden signs stimulus package, targets July 4 ‘Independence Day’ from virus

U.S. President Joe Biden signed the $1.9 trillion stimulus package into law, a day earlier than expected, and signaled an acceleration in the national vaccination campaign, targeting a return to normal life in time for the July 4 holiday.

In a televised address, Biden urged states to make all U.S. adults eligible for vaccine shots by May 1, an aim that dovetails with earlier comments about wanting all adults vaccinated by the end of that month.

The comments appeared to solidify faith in a U.S. economic recovery this year, pushing the dollar and U.S. bond yields higher.

By 6:30 AM ET (1130 GMT), the yield on the benchmark 10-Year note was back at 1.61%, its highest since February last year. The dollar index, moving in tandem as usual, rose 0.6% to 91.93, with gains against both commodity currencies and havens such as the Swiss franc .

2. Global stocks, euro tumble 

The reversal in Treasury yields undermined the rally in global stocks, pushing both U.S. futures into the red in early trade on Friday. Chinese and Japanese markets escaped the worst of the selling, which started only late on in the Asian session, but Indian and European markets were all lower by 6:30 AM ET.

The EUR/USD has struggled in the last 24 hours on a number of accounts: the European Central Bank’s press conference on Thursday underlined that the yield premium on U.S. assets is likely to widen in the short term, as the ECB steps up its bond purchases. Moreover, most of the EU, with the exception of Spain and Portugal, is now experiencing a clear pickup in Covid-19 cases, casting doubt over the further reopening of the economy.

By 6:30 AM ET, the euro was down 0.5% at $1.1922.

3. Stocks set to open lower; DocuSign, Ulta, Michigan consumer sentiment eyed

U.S. stocks are set to open lower later, but are still on course for a positive week after Biden’s address.

By 6:35 AM, the  NASDAQ Futures contract was off its overnight lows but still down 1.5%, after gaining 2.5% on Thursday. The S&P 500 futures contract was down 0.5% and the Dow Jones futures contract was outperforming with a negligible loss of only 13 points.

Stocks likely to be in focus later include Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), which was marked down 10% in premarket trade after publishing disappointing results after the close on Thursday.

DocuSign stock (NASDAQ:DOCU) was also marked down by over 4%, despite beating forecasts both for the last quarter, and for its guidance for the coming quarter.

The data calendar ends the week on a light note, with producer price inflation data due at 8:30 AM ET and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment index at 10 AM.

4 AstraZeneca's woes; Novavax revels in test results

More countries halted the distribution of AstraZeneca’s Covid-19 vaccine, amid fears that it may be connected to blood-clotting problems that have led to at least one death. Denmark and Austria suspended the use of the drug on Thursday, followed by Norway and Iceland. They’ve now been followed by Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Bulgaria and Luxembourg and by Thailand, the first Asian country to do so.

Making matters worse, Reuters reported on Thursday that AstraZeneca’s plans to reduce a shortfall in deliveries to the EU by exporting from the U.S. had been stymied by officials in Washington.

By contrast, Novavax Inc (NASDAQ:NVAX) stock made further gains in premarket after a late-stage trial showed it was 96% effective against the original strain of the Covid-19 virus and 86% effective against the recent ‘British’ strain.

5. Chinese tech hit by regulatory warning shot

Chinese technology giants sold off after antitrust authorities issued a raft of fines relating to their past M&A activity.

The regulators fined Tencent Holdings (OTC:TCEHY), ride-hailing company Didi Chuxing, search giant Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) and Byte Dance, the parent company of TikTok.

The fines, while small in their absolute size, were taken as a warning shot against the companies whose financial clout is reportedly seen by some in Beijing to the authority of the Communist Party. ADRs of Tencent, Baidu and Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), whose founder Jack Ma has also had recent run-ins with regulators in recent months, were all marked down in premarket trading.

Latest comments

So nice to have a real president rather than the terr/orist manbaby gopq installed and still worship.
Fed Austin Powellovic was driving the yield tracks
*truck
So nice to have a real president rather than that man baby gopq terr/orist trump that destroyed so many families convincing them to attack the capital
Lyndon Baines Johnson was the worst president. He sent our boys to Vietnam and left them to rot by not seeking a second term.
 Come on... everyone knows Jimmy Carter was the worst until BHO came along. Johnson was like 3rd or 4th. You wouldn't believe some of the crazy stuff LBJ did right in the WH though. I doubt my comment would get posted if I typed it. I suggest reading the book, "In the President's Secret Service: Behind the Scenes with Agents in the Line of Fire and the Presidents They Protect" by Ronald Kessler. It's really good.
Biden is trash
Look at History the day Trump signed Market started its Bull Run.. Investors adjusted to COVID and took stocks to new highs .. They will adjust to 10yrs Yeild .. New standards for 10yr will be 2.0 pretty soon.. Then there will be another post that will say How Biden’s Bill helped the economy.. Typical Media ..
quick search... March 9, 2009, as the beginning of the current bull market
If the 10 yr yield remains higher than the SPY dividend, the valuation models will all collapse
biden being manipulated is elder abuse!
market won't crash .. we just put another 2T into the economy. where will that money go? into savings? LOL
Thats what ive been doing with my unemployment. Everyone i know has either spent most of theirs or only has a little bit left. Meanwhile I saved nearly $30k (some of it from good investing) mostly from my unemployment. Ive been paid $20k in unemployment and i banked nearly all of it. So when thre economy collapses ill be okay for a little bit. If it doesnt ill have a decent chunk.
market has been inflated to bursting point through relentless Fed bond buying over the past 12 months, Fed bought 100% of T bonds issued last tear... and other junk bonds... do the math - without a healthy dose of inflation this bubble bursts now
its MathS. Short for Mathematics. People who do math must also do physic and calculu.
 Thank for that Dave... I just always thought MathS meant as in plural. Now that I know that, I'll be using the term far more often. By the way... I thought it was "Calculi"? Haha
How to use math and maths. The only difference between math and maths is where they're used. Math is the preferred term in the United States and Canada. Maths is the preferred term in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Australia, and other English-speaking places.
US 10Y will welcome US Markets while opening at a fresh 52 week high! Powell and Yellen are ready to get abscond
please I want to ask what's the effect of Biden's speech on Us Dollar ?
up when everyone dumps their stocks for dollars then down when everyone dumps their dollars for gold & oil
thanks Jon Bal
I keep blocking and blocking these trump bots but they keep coming and coming =/
Truth prevails
lies spreads like a virus which "will miraculously disappear one day"... lol
it did disappear. right after trump left. very suspicious of the dems.
Summer 2020 10 y bond .6-.7 just gone !!! That’s a shame
Where is Trump when we need him to send out a tweet ;)
Oh you lookin for Chump? he’s probably out golfing at mar-o-lago, twice impeached, and BANNED from twitter! So good luck looking for him to come raise *****again🤣
supid probably getting it on with ivanka.. lol
The same people that canceled independence day last year will celebrate it this year. sheep will be sheep
so the bond is down 📉as Treasury 10 yeid goes up 📈 lol it's now gonna buy 📈 nas100
wow this isn't good
It's good for my put options hahaha
meaning USD is going down
Thank You! Ive been trying to tell people that Biden’s speech didn’t go well and he scared bond holders.
Yep. My put options are going to be golden today. Everything is overvalued. Can't throw money at the stock market to say hey look at the great job I'm doing. Yet the valuations say otherwise. Eventually there will be a correction. Next will be more debt for infrastructure then tax increases. All good for put options.
which of your option will be golden ?
Does that means US Dollars will gain strength or will go hawkish ?
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