Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Bank of Japan board reshuffle brings in less dovish members

Published 07/24/2022, 11:07 PM
Updated 07/25/2022, 06:31 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man wearing a protective mask walks past the headquarters of the Bank of Japan amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Tokyo, Japan, May 22, 2020.REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo

By Leika Kihara

TOKYO (Reuters) - The Bank of Japan's two new policymakers said on Monday the central bank needs an exit strategy from its massive stimulus, a sign the board's balance could tilt in favour of a withdrawal of Governor Haruhiko Kuroda's radical monetary easing.

Hajime Takata, a former private economist, said the BOJ must "always think about" an exit strategy even though now may not be the timing for an actual end to ultra-low interest rates.

The other newcomer, Naoki Tamura, who joined from a commercial bank, said an exit from easy policy would become a focus of discussion once wages begin to rise in tandem with inflation.

"Only when the BOJ can normalise monetary policy and exit can it describe its massive monetary easing programme as a success," Tamura said in an inaugural news conference.

Takata and Tamura joined the BOJ's nine-member board on Sunday, replacing former economist Goushi Kataoka, a vocal advocate of aggressive monetary easing, and banker Hitoshi Suzuki. Their five-year term had expired.

The arrival of Takata and Tamura, who both showed no reluctance to speak about an exit from easy policy, could shift the board's debate less in favour of maintaining massive stimulus.

Deputy Governor Masazumi Wakatabe, another vocal dove, will reach the end of his five-year term in March next year. That will be followed by the departure of Governor Kuroda, opening up the possibility of a shift https://tmsnrt.rs/3LtuvsI away from the current dovish policy bias.

"The newcomers both seem to believe yield curve control can be tweaked sooner or later," said Hiroaki Muto, an economist at Sumitomo Life Insurance.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

"The possibility of a tweak to yield curve control is heightening, although the timing will likely be after Kuroda's departure," he said.

GRAPHIC: Doves and Hawks (https://graphics.reuters.com/JAPAN-ECONOMY/BOJ/dwvkrndxrpm/JAPAN-ECONOMY-BOJ.jpg)

As part of its efforts to fire up inflation to its 2% target, the BOJ guides short-term rates towards -0.1% and caps the 10-year bond yield around 0% under its yield curve control (YCC) policy.

With interest rates and inflation rising across the globe, markets have been rife with speculation the BOJ could follow in the footsteps of other central banks and dial back stimulus once the dovish governor Kuroda departs.

While defending YCC as sustainable and effective in supporting the economy, Takata said prolonged ultra-low rates were narrowing bank margins and affecting the bond markets' functioning.

Former banker Tamura said there were "questions" around how effective the BOJ's negative rate policy was in propping up the economy.

"Upon an exit (from easy policy), the key would be how to adjust the level of the BOJ's policy rates, and reduce its huge balance sheet," Tamura said.

Takata, a bond market expert, once wrote in a research note that the BOJ could come under pressure to consider exiting its ultra-loose policy if the European Central Bank (ECB) withdraws monetary stimulus.

That view contrasted with his predecessor Kataoka, who consistently proposed ramping up stimulus by strengthening the BOJ's commitment to ultra-low rates.

The ECB last week hiked rates for the first time in 11 years, joining a wave of central banks tightening monetary policy to combat surging inflation.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

That left the BOJ among the few remaining central banks keeping its money tap wide open. Kuroda last week reiterated his resolve to keep interest rates ultra-low, after the BOJ's widely expected decision to maintain an extremely loose monetary policy.

Latest comments

if your debt to gdp is 250-300% you are screwed.... that's abe's legacy.... rip anyways...
BoJ - the founder of modern monetary policy - the consequences of which no one is aware of
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.