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World stocks hit highest in a week as inflation worries ebb

Published 03/10/2021, 06:53 PM
Updated 03/11/2021, 04:55 AM
© Reuters. A man is reflected on a stock quotation board in Tokyo

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON (Reuters) - World stocks rose to their highest in just over a week on Thursday after a report on U.S. consumer prices calmed investor nerves about inflation and lifted the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a record close.

European stocks climbed, with the pan-European STOXX 600 index reaching a one-year peak and up 0.3% on the day. Britain's FTSE 100 index rose 0.14%, France's CAC 40 0.2%, and Italy's FTSEMIB 1%. Germany's DAX traded flat.

MSCI's All Country World Index, which tracks stocks across 49 countries, rose to its highest in just over a week, up 0.5% on the day.

Earlier in Asia, an index of regional stocks excluding Japan rose 1.7%, led by a 2.3% surge in South Korea's Kospi, and was on track for its first three-day advance in three weeks.

China's Shanghai Composite rallied 1.9%, helped by local lending data. Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 0.5%.

E-mini futures for the U.S. S&P 500 index gained to their highest in two weeks, up 0.7%.

Relative calm in the Treasuries market also helped risk sentiment, with the benchmark yield settling around 1.5% after shooting to a one-year high above 1.6% last week as investors worried about the U.S. economic recovery running too hot.

"If we look at history, we see that when yields have gone up, after a while equity markets have generally been okay," said Justin Onuekwusi, portfolio manager at Legal & General Investment Management. "The only time you really see both equities and bonds sell off is in periods when there is a significant inflation scare."

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At this point with unemployment still so high, it is hard to see inflation becoming a problem, Onuekwusi said. Higher yields could be read as showing "that we are actually getting out of the quagmire we have been in."

"And there is a natural yield cap -- central banks will step in when rates move too quickly. They are differentiating between levels of yield and speed at which yields move."

The European Central Bank sets its policy on Thursday and is likely to signal faster money printing to keep a lid on borrowing costs but stop short of adding firepower to its already aggressive pandemic-fighting package.

The U.S. Labor Department said its consumer price index rose 0.4% in February, in line with expectations, after a 0.3% increase in January. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy components, edged up 0.1%, just shy of the 0.2% estimate.

Analysts largely expect inflation to pick up as vaccine rollouts lead to a reopening of the economy, but worries persist that additional stimulus in the form of a $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package set to be signed by U.S. President Joe Biden could overheat the economy.

Investors will now eye an auction of 30-year debt on Thursday, seeking to cover massive shorts. A weak seven-year auction in late February helped fuel inflation concerns and sent yields higher.

"Rises in U.S. bond yields appear to have subsided a bit after the 10-year yield has reached 1.5%, even though many investors remain cautious before the Fed's policy meeting," said Naoya Oshikubo, senior economist at Sumitomo Mitsui (NYSE:SMFG) Trust Asset Management.

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"The Fed has ratcheted up its rhetoric on bond yields lately. The reality is, the economy is in a K-shaped recovery, with the service sector still in difficult conditions and the Fed would probably not want to let real interest rates rise."

The dollar remained weaker following the economic data. The dollar index fell to its lowest in a week, 91.547.

The euro, on the other hand, rose to its highest in a week, at $1.19685. The safe-haven yen traded flat at 108.425 per dollar.

Oil prices resumed their climb following two days of declines, after the Energy Information Administration reported a storage grew more than expected.

U.S. crude futures rose 1.3% to $65.25 per barrel. Brent crude futures rose 1.1% to $68.68 per barrel.

Latest comments

There's an eerie calm here now. Seems no vibrant flow of news, old news hanging around, 1.9tn is out of the bag finally having generously fuelled rally after rally on blue clouds and hopes alone. NOW WHAT? - Bio/Tech are still hugging a down trend and other stocks have been trending lower. - I'm afraid of the recently overdone profits and their taking and the ensuing for more roller coastwr
Inflation is running amok right now!! I'm in the construction industry and quite honestly, new home construction should be flat right now. The first time I stopped by the lumberyard last fall for 12 studs and a sheet of plywood, that cost me $160, I ****near died. A builder can't turn a profit when lumber prices are up 100 to 200%. In addition, if you follow commodities, you've noticed that copper has doubled. That's right, wiring the house just went through the roof. Also, reasonably priced labor is gone. Everyone out here thinks he's worth $500 a day and doesn't want to work for less. Oh yeah, that includes Pedro who came across the border last month. We're screwed. My last truck cost $51,000. In 2008, the same truck cost $17,900. No inflation here. Everything I buy is up!! Replaced my dehumidifier last month. 2 years ago it was $199. I just paid $279. Yeah, inflation is flat!
In the textile industry, I know for a fact a Cone of Cotton which cost Rs100 is now Rs160, and moreover fuel prices are going through the roof
I believe that the market is atleast overvalued by a thrid... I would not be surprised by a 40% correction/crash how ever you want to call it.. I am Just staying safe in my debt funds since Nov
Looking forward to moving past this pandemic and seeing people smile again.
We hear that inflation has been low for many years. Yes a basket of stuff your grandmother used to buy may not have changed much but consider the real cost of living. By substituting items in the basket we can manipulate the result considerably. Our washer dryer and refrigerator costs less. Korean cars cost much less. Automation and guest workers has kept food costs down. My $25 phone from AT&T now costs $1000 from Apple. The free library books now cost $5 from Kindle. My bottomless cup of coffee at the diner costs$4 at Starbucks. My trusty pedal bike must be replaced by a $2000 Peloton. My thoughts I used to sell for a penny, now I give them to Alexa. If I buy Tesla stock with Bitcoin today it is thousands of percent more expensive than two years ago. Now that is inflation!
in 90s i knew two-three billionairs. Now there are hundreds of them. I suspect, we will hear about the first thrillionair soon.
I should also point out that most national statistics are misleading . Unemployment is much higher than those currently able to claim benefits. I was unemployed for 5 years but only counted for 6 months. Many also are later underemployed or simply give up. Ask gig workers if they are employed to full potential
Inflation is inevitable to reduce the government debt. Clearly expansion in the developing economies will continue demand for raw materials. Pent up consumer demand will uncover the fragility of the global supply chain. We outsourced manufacturing to other countries, supplied tooling and critically expertise through "technology transfer". We were generous in providing education and training. Now our supply chain has more power and options. There may be low wage inflation in the US but there will be in developing countries. Indeed, the millions who lost jobs recently will probably earn less and certainly the mature layoffs will experience re-employment at lower salaries. With more nationalism, we will see tariffs, trade wars, supply disruption and overhead costs. We cannot compete because too few people produce the products we need to live and work. Our costs are high due to regulations, litigation and the high living standards we enjoy. We have a plutocracy of expensive people churnin.
Gold is heading to record highs
Why is media so fake? You could have at least tried using the right image for the title. In Asia when stocks go up the tickers turn red. You can clearly see all those numbers are negative. Who hires those people?
I've been buying every dip over the last 6months. It has been so profitable, but I'm taking this record high to sell out and taking a break for the next few months. Good luck and enjoy guys! The ride has been fun.
great news: all the injected money went by real economy.
doolar index competly washed out it wont recover again
Dow down 1,500 points by next week
shadowstats for true inflation
exclude volatile food and energy supplies, so it evaluates tesla price discount and sales from abercrombie
Adani and baba Ramdev buyer of us soya oil
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