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Global equities edge higher on hopes of U.S. jobs data

Published 06/01/2021, 10:13 PM
Updated 06/02/2021, 06:01 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man wearing a protective face mask walks past a stock quotation board outside a brokerage, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Tokyo, Japan May 11, 2021. REUTERS/Issei Kato

By Katanga Johnson

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Global equities markets firmed on Wednesday ahead of key U.S. economic data due later in the week as investors weighed inflation concerns and a fresh surge in so-called "meme stocks."

Oil prices hit the highest level in more than a year on lift from a decision by OPEC and allies to stick to the plan to gradually restore supply, along with the slow pace of nuclear talks between Iran and the United States.

Wall Street's main indexes ended the session mixed after erasing earlier gains near midday trading led by a jump in shares of AMC Entertainment (NYSE:AMC) Holdings, which nearly doubled in price on Wednesday.

This breathtaking rally saw the theater chain operator's shares closed up 95.2% at $62.55, a fresh record, which affected a group of stocks favored by retail investors on forums such as Reddit's WallStreetBets.

This comes despite wary investors remaining unconvinced by central bank assurances that the current inflation upsurge is transitory.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.28% and MSCI's gauge of stocks, which tracks shares in 50 countries, gained 0.09%.

Markets are being driven less by fundamentals than at any time in recent memory, said Howard Fischer, a partner with law firm Moses & Singer.

"As the "meme stock" frenzy continues, the apparent disconnect between asset values and asset prices continues to widen. Predictions that prices and inherent value will eventually converge have, so far, proven baseless."

The U.S. Federal Reserve will begin to unwind the corporate bond holdings it acquired last year through an emergency lending facility launched to calm credit markets at the height of the pandemic, the central bank announced on Wednesday.

Central bank officials said in its Beige Book report released earlier on Wednesday that the U.S. recovery accelerated in recent weeks even as a long list of supply chain troubles, hiring difficulties, and rising prices cascaded through the country.

This comes after a strong expansion in European and U.S. factory activity in May had lifted world shares to record highs on Tuesday.

A weekly unemployment report and May private payrolls data on Thursday will be followed by monthly jobs numbers on Friday, with investors looking for signs of an economic rebound and rising inflation.

Yet ahead of Friday's crucial U.S. jobs data, traders eagerly aim to assess what the increasing evidence of a faster-than-expected economic recovery would mean for central bank policy in Europe and the United States.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 25.07 points, or 0.07%, to 34,600.38, the S&P 500 gained 6.08 points, or 0.14%, to 4,208.12 and the Nasdaq Composite added 19.85 points, or 0.14%, to 13,756.33.

Investors already are stuck in the summer doldrums, with markets struggling to find direction as much of the good economic news is priced in, said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Independent Advisor Alliance in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Inflation and job growth will continue to be debated, he said.

"With the Fed and many bond market investors confident that price increases will remain temporary ... others will cast a more skeptical eye on the conversation."

Brent rose $1.1, or 1.6%, to settle at $71.35 a barrel. It reached $71.48 a barrel, its highest since January 2020.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $1.11, or 1.6%, to settle at $68.83 a barrel. It hit $69.00 during the session, its highest since October 2018.

Crude oil inventories fell last week while fuel stockpiles rose, according to two market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday.

Graphic: Brent crude oil price - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/yzdvxmrjnpx/crude%20oil.PNG

While broader stock markets remain close to record highs, the momentum of earlier in the year has ebbed as investors begin to worry a stronger-than-expected rebound from COVID-19 means higher inflation and sooner-than-expected monetary policy tightening.

Economies are recovering much faster than anticipated - data on Wednesday showed Australia's economy racing ahead last quarter as consumers and businesses spent with abandon, lifting output back above where it was last year before the pandemic.

SHRUGGING OFF INFLATION DATA

While investors have built sizable short positions against the U.S. dollar more broadly, they are worried over a potential hawkish tone from the Fed at its meeting later in June, and traders are reluctant to send the greenback much lower.

Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 8/32 in price to yield 1.5892%, from 1.615%.

Euro zone yields have largely shrugged off Tuesday's data showing euro zone inflation rose to 2% in May - a sign that markets were confident the European Central Bank would not decide to slow the pace of its bond buys when it meets on June 10.

"Keep a close eye on the U.S. 10-year treasury note – as long as rates stay safely below 2% percent, then relative calm should reign in the stock markets, but a sharp rise in rates could cause a more violent rotation out of tech and communication services and into financials and materials," added Independent Advisor Alliance's Zaccarelli.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People are seen on Wall St. outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

But Patrick Leary, who serves as the chief market strategist and senior trader at Incapital in Minneapolis, said he sees a great deal of uncertainty about inflation.

"The Fed keeps saying that inflation will be transitory, and, for now, markets are comfortable with that narrative," said Leary, adding that he sees the central bank as "intentionally trying to overheat the economy to drive employment lower. Unfortunately, this is also going to lead to inflation."

Latest comments

how can I spot
I recommend you study each article, because usually there's info in the second or third paragraph that contradicts what they led with in the first paragraph. neo-liberally educated are taught to do that. they know that you'll *****down on the first paragraph, and overlook the very important following paragraphs that tweek the meaning of the first. they feed us nothing that nourishes the mind. they know it & don't care.interesting that none of these people contribute to any tangible production. they exist merely scalping off of it.
you can thank the media for the markets disconnect with fundamentals (realty). life would be unexciting for them if they weren't waving a false flag, hyperbolically exaggerating, or outright lying to people. they make money going both ways. it's a big pump and dump. over, and over, and over again.
Can someone explain please how one drives the employment numbers lower by intentionally overheating the economy? An unemployment rate that is below the normal rate for an economy is one of the main signs of an overheated economy. How do they lower the numbers for employment?
when prices go up, people stock up on stuff, because it will cost more next week. that stimulates production, and the need to hire more people to mine, make, ship, deliver, stock, and sell the stuff.
okay. markets soar, and potential positive news is already baked into prices, but somehow we're all waiting for news that's already baked into the market, to go where? such lies. we're in for a real rough few years, according to the best minds in the business. but, the media liars know better.
drunk
And now the title was changed lol. Payrolls don't matter. Last 246.000 figure only gave boost to market when it was supoised to be near 1M. They twisted the payrolls bad number was actually only good for market, so with the same logic if it's gonna ne near 1M market should crash. Sure. Printer only goes brrrr...
Why don't u just stop copying the same news from last day/werk/month/year? Everyone knows printer goes brrrr and while that lasts bubble goes up and when it stops bubble pops. Simple as that. Nothing to do with any hopes or other stuff.
what makes gold coming down when it suppose to be up
Some money move from metals to cryptos because they came down to quick, to fast.
The Dollar strength.
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