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Trump, despite solid U.S. growth, says Fed should fire up crisis-era stimulus

Published 04/14/2019, 12:10 PM
Updated 04/14/2019, 12:15 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Trump declares a national emergency at the southern border during remarks at the White House in Washington

By Howard Schneider

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump said on Sunday that actions by the U.S. Federal Reserve have nicked U.S. economic growth and stock market gains by perhaps 30 percent, and that it should begin pumping money into the economy as it did during the 2007-2009 recession.

Trump's latest broadside against the central bank, delivered by Twitter and without citing any evidence, came as European Central Bank head Mario Draghi and other international officials worried that a Fed politicized by potential Trump nominees would rattle a dollar-based global system.

"If the Fed had done its job properly, which it has not, the Stock Market would have been up 5000 to 10,000 additional points, and GDP would have been well over 4 percent instead of 3 percent...with almost no inflation," Trump said.

"Quantitative tightening was a killer, should have done the exact opposite," he said, referring to the Fed's monthly withdrawal last year of up to $50 billion of the bonds it acquired during the worst economic downturn since the 1930s Great Depression.

Trump's suggestion the Fed return to quantitative easing would put the central bank in the position of adding monetary stimulus and expanding its presence in debt markets in an economy growing solidly and with historically low unemployment.

No one at the Fed, including three Trump appointees on the board of governors and Trump's handpicked chairman, Jerome Powell, has suggested the U.S. needs the sort of central bank help launched when the economy was in freefall a decade ago, according to minutes of recent Fed meetings.

The Fed has already decided to halt the drawdown of its security holdings as of September after concluding that the size of its asset holdings, likely around $3.5 trillion by that point, would be adequate given the demand by commercial banks to hold central bank reserves, the public demand for cash, and the other uses to which its assets are put.

The Fed raised interest rates four times in 2018, but also has put that process on hold, leaving the target policy rate at a range of between 2.25 and 2.5 percent, still below historical averages.

Trump was angered last fall when a variety of economic risks, which analysts say included slowing growth abroad, Trump's own trade policies, and communications missteps by Powell, contributed to a more than 20 percent drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average from October through December.

That loss has been almost completely erased as the Fed shifted gears, and the Dow is now just about 1.5 percent below the record it set on Oct. 3.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Trump declares a national emergency at the southern border during remarks at the White House in Washington

Trump remains peeved with Powell, and indicated he wants to name two political allies, economics commentator Stephen Moore and businessman Herman Cain, to fill two open seats on the Fed's board of governors.

Latest comments

We are collapsing from the loose monetary policies over the last ten years. The Fed has no more options.... we gone!!!
We are going to become the next Venezuela if not careful ...
He is correct. This economy always needs more fiat to keep running. The boom and busts are created easily by banking cartel just by cutting money supply. He is calling out the truth. Amen. 2008 crisis was all engineered to create monopoly with banks and to stick tax payers with the bill.
Nonsense. The economy, just like the stock market, goes through natural boom and bust cycles. It's not the Fed's job to prop up the stock market. Trump is not calling out the truth. He's simply trying to make himself look good by artificially inflating the stick markets, and he's demonstrating his ignorance of economics at the same time.
You have no idea buddy. Liquidity dries up and then recession. Its all planned by elites. Just when its starts to trickle to the little guy they pull the plug. Rinse repeat.
   (i) Whatever he 'like' to do he will do, after all his presidency   (ii) Correlation won't perform every time in economics
Trump is smarter than most Americans. Economy is on shaky ground and he wants to keep the show going until 2020.
If Trump is so smart then why is he the one screwing up the stock market with his crazy tariff war? That's the main cause of any slowdown in the markets. He is also talking out both sides of his mouth. Bragging on the one hand about the markets reaching new highs, and about how the economy has never been better, but at the same time chastising the Fed for doing the prudent thing in trimming their books, and now calling for the same tactics that are used during financial crisis. That's ridiculous and just shows his complete ignorance of responsible economics, and lack of respect for the independence of the Fed. Trump thinks he's running a company where he can tell everybody what to do. Artificially inflating the stock market by reducing interest rates and printing more money has real-world consequences. But Trump only cares about trying to create bragging rights, without understanding the real consequences.
Agreed that he's just trying to keep the show going until 2020 (but at what cost)? Disagree that he's smart, other than smart about how to stir up his base and manipulate people.
Short-sighted
The man is nuts.
QE to infinity. Got gold?
Gold and silver are headed south. In a big way.
 Gold has been outpacing US stocks significantly ever since Bretton Woods ended. Holding gold is always better than holding stocks for decades
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