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Rosengren: risk of economy overheating amid sharp unemployment drop

Published 05/09/2017, 01:31 PM
Updated 05/09/2017, 01:41 PM
© Reuters.

Investing.com – Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren warned on Tuesday that faster interest rate hikes would be needed should unemployment continue to drop below the level of “natural employment” and cause the economy to overheat.

Rosengren, said the current unemployment rate of 4.4%, a 10-year low, has fallen below his 4.7% estimate of “natural employment”, which would spur inflationary pressure as wage growth steepens.

Citing a survey from economists, who predict a 10% probability of unemployment dropping below 4%, Rosengren, said "Such an overheated economy would likely be accompanied by higher inflation, which in turn would likely elicit higher interest rates".

The dollar had a fairly muted reaction to Rosengren's comments, while gold slipped to the downside.

The U.S. dollar index traded 99.43, up 0.4%.

Gold futures sagged $10.34, or 0.84% to $1216.83, while the U.S. 10-Year traded at around 2.403, up 1.14%.

Latest comments

With over 100 million employable unemployed workers it sure will overheat to the point of a revolution.
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