German investor morale rises sharply in March as fiscal policy shift looms

Published 03/18/2025, 06:37 AM
Updated 03/18/2025, 07:22 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The initial prize is shown on a board of the German stock exchange market during the initial public offering IPO of German web hosting company IONOS in Frankfurt, Germany, February 8, 2023.    REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay/File Photo

By Friederike Heine

BERLIN (Reuters) -German investor morale improved more than expected in March, the ZEW economic research institute said on Tuesday, reporting an increase in its economic sentiment index to 51.6 points from 26.0 points in February.

Analysts polled by Reuters had pointed to a reading of 50.3.

"The brighter mood is likely due to positive signals regarding the future German fiscal policy, for example the agreement on the multi-billion-euro financial package for the federal budget," said ZEW President Achim Wambach.

"In particular, prospects for metal and steel manufacturers as well as the mechanical engineering sector have improved," he said in a statement, adding that the sixth consecutive interest rate cut by the European Central Bank meant more favourable financing conditions.

The score, in a range from minus 100 to plus 100, is based on a survey of about 350 Germany-based financial analysts at banks, insurers and large industrial companies.

The second consecutive month of rising sentiment comes as Germany’s lower house of parliament is set to vote on a massive surge in borrowing that could boost Europe’s largest economy and stimulate growth across the region.

The conservatives and Social Democrats (SPD), who are in talks to form a centrist coalition after last month’s election, want to create a 500-billion-euro ($546.05 billion) fund for infrastructure and to ease constitutionally enshrined borrowing rules to allow higher spending on security.

The plans, if implemented, would upend decades of fiscal conservatism in Germany, and have lifted euro zone yields and the euro currency over the past week.

Last week, Germany’s DIW economic institute said the infrastructure fund alone could raise economic output by an average of more than two percentage points per year over the next 10 years.

If a defence and infrastructure spending ramp-up is included, growth of 2.1% was expected in 2026, DIW said.

The IfW institute, meanwhile, revised up its 2026 estimate for Germany, predicting 1.5% growth off the back of the expected boom in public spending.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.