Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Fed's grades slip in Wall Street's latest report card

Published 11/30/2018, 05:31 PM
Updated 11/30/2018, 05:31 PM
© Reuters. A Wall Street sign outside the New York Stock Exchange

By Ann Saphir

SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Wall Street last month gave the Federal Reserve its worst grade since Jerome Powell took the helm of the U.S. central bank earlier this year, docking points for a communications misstep early in October that sent U.S. stocks tumbling.

The report card is included in the New York Fed's survey of primary dealers that each quarter elicits an assessment of the Fed's communication with markets and the public over the prior six to eight weeks, using a scale of zero, for "ineffective," to five, for "effective."

The Fed received an average score of 3.57 in the latest survey, conducted October 25 to 29 and released on Friday. That's down from 3.87 in mid-July, the last time the Fed was graded on its communication prowess. The first grade of Powell's tenure, in April, was 3.82.

The downgrade is at least partly attributable to Powell's remark on Oct. 3 that interest rates were probably a "long way" from neutral, which seemed to contradict his comment a couple of months earlier rejecting a too-rigid reliance on the neutral rate to shape policy because it could lead to costly mistakes. Stocks plummeted in response.

"Several dealers noted that recent communication from Fed officials has been clear. However, several dealers noted that they perceived recent communication regarding the neutral policy rate and its role in informing monetary policy as being unclear or at times inconsistent with prior Fed communication," the survey said in the comments section.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Also that month, President Donald Trump called the Fed "crazy."

This month, Powell and other Fed policymakers have tried to dispel any perception of hawkishness. Markets have rallied this week after Powell signaled he'd be open to taking a go-slow approach on rate hikes.

Still, the Fed under Powell is so far scoring higher than it did when Powell's predecessor Janet Yellen was in charge.

In October 2015, when the Yellen Fed was navigating the difficult transition from years of super-low interest rates to a cycle of rate hikes, she got the worst grade of her tenure -- an average 2.27 out of 5.

Will Powell be able to earn enough extra credit with Wall Street to boost his grade?

Stay tuned until February, the next time the report will be released.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.