Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

ECB's Nowotny challenges cautious message with rate hike talk

Published 12/14/2018, 07:00 AM
Updated 12/14/2018, 07:05 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Austria's National Bank, OeNB, Governor Ewald Nowotny speaks during an economics conference in Linz

VIENNA/FRANKFURT (Reuters) - European Central Bank policymaker Ewald Nowotny challenged a choir of cautious comments from his colleagues on Friday, saying the ECB had achieved its inflation goal and should hike its key interest rate as soon as possible.

The ECB announced the end of its 2.6 trillion euro ($2.9 trillion) stimulus program on Thursday but President Mario Draghi couched the decision in warnings about slower growth and risks from protectionism to Brexit.

Nowotny, an outspoken policy hawk who heads Austria's central bank, sang from a different hymn sheet, saying market expectations, which don't foresee a hike to the ECB's deposit rate until 2020, were not in line with the central bank's guidance.

His comments laid bare diverging views on the ECB's Governing Council, where some policymakers had urged Draghi to sound even more cautious than he eventually did on the economic outlook on Thursday.

"My personal view is that specifically this rate, that is this phenomenon of negative interest rates, should be reconsidered as soon as economically possible," Nowotny told a news conference.

"It is also a specificity of the ECB. The U.S. never had a negative rate," he said.

The ECB has said it will keep rates at their current, record-low levels at least through next summer but money markets don't price in a hike until 2020.

Speaking earlier in Frankfurt, ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said investors were forecasting a hike in September or October but struck a cautious note, saying the central bank should keep its options open.

"When you are in a dark room you have to be very cautious and try to keep your optionality at the maximum level," de Guindos told a conference.

French central bank governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau had also said late on Thursday the ECB's monetary policy wold remain flexible in the face of uncertainty.

Some rate-setters wanted Draghi to go a step further and say that risks surrounding the economic outlook were "tilted to the downside" -- a phrase the ECB has used in the past to signal its readiness to ease policy again, two sources told Reuters.

In the end, the ECB tweaked the wording of the introductory statement to reflect the increased economic concerns but kept its reference to balanced risks.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Austria's National Bank, OeNB, Governor Ewald Nowotny speaks during an economics conference in Linz

"Next year the balance of risk is more likely to turn in a negative direction but for the moment, because risks and economic data are quite mixed, yesterday's meeting still described the risk outlook as balanced," Lithuania's central bank governor Vitas Vasiliauskas told reporters.

Latest comments

But recession is not the worst in Europe. Countries starting to abort euro - that will be the main challenge, as euro will no longer serve national interests.
he has no idea what he is talking about. Europe is at the edge of recession.
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.