Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Colombia central bank likely to hold rate until September - analysts

Published 04/22/2019, 01:13 PM
Updated 04/22/2019, 01:15 PM
© Reuters. The Colombia's central bank logo is seen in Bogota

By Nelson Bocanegra

BOGOTA (Reuters) - Colombia's seven-member central bank board will hold the benchmark interest rate steady at its April meeting this week, taking advantage of a lack of pressure on either inflation or economic growth, analysts said in a Reuters survey on Monday.

The policymakers will keep the rate steady until at least September, those surveyed said.

The 19 analysts agreed the rate will remain at 4.25 percent at Friday's meeting, which will mark one year since the last rate movement.

Those polled said there will be only one movement in borrowing costs this year - an increase of 25 points. In the March survey they had predicted two quarter point increases before the end of 2019.

"The outlook looks set for the bank to hold the rate, without increases, during a longer time," said Juana Tellez, head economist at BBVA (MC:BBVA) Research. "In 2020 it could increase again by 25 basis points to 4.75 percent - its long-term neutral level."

Analysts' inflation expectations for this year were up slightly to 3.30 percent, from 3.20 percent in last month's survey.

In April, consumer prices will increase 0.39 percent, taking 12-month inflation to 3.15 percent, the poll showed.

"Given the surprisingly low figures in the first two months of the year and lower volatility in inflation because of the new measurement methodology, we have adjusted our estimate for the close of 2019," said Maria Paula Contreras of Corficolombiana.

"We expect moderate upward pressures because of the El Nino phenomenon, local supply disruptions and the gradual transmission of the (peso) devaluation."

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The economic growth expectations of those polled were down slightly to 3.25 percent, compared with 3.30 percent in last month's survey.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.