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U.S. weekly jobless claims unexpectedly fall; PPI accelerates

Published 02/16/2023, 08:28 AM
Updated 02/16/2023, 08:34 AM
© Reuters.

By Scott Kanowsky 

Investing.com -- The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits declined unexpectedly last week, while another report showed that producer prices accelerated in January.

Initial jobless claims dipped to 194,000 people in the week ending on February 11, according to Labor Department data on Thursday, inching lower from a downwardly revised figure of 195,000 in the prior week. Economists had predicted that the reading would climb to 200,000.

The four-week moving average, which aims to account for volatility in the weekly count, moved up by 500 to 189,500. Meanwhile, continuing claims also edged a touch higher to 1.696 million, up from 1.680 million in the prior week and topping estimates.

"This is your weekly reminder that the US labor market remains secularly tight," said Bob Elliott, chief executive officer at Unlimited Funds in a tweet. "Continuing and initial claims moving sideways at low levels. Employment probably not booming as much as payrolls suggest, but this labor market is strong."

Cooling the red-hot job market has been a central objective for the Federal Reserve. The U.S. central bank has raised its target range for interest rates from near-zero to between 4.5% to 4.75% in less than a year, with policymakers partly hoping that these hikes will loosen the labor market, quell demand and ultimately help bring down elevated inflation.

But there are still plenty of vacancies on offer for the newly out of work. Job openings rose above 11 million in December, while the latest labor market report was far stronger than economists had first anticipated.

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In a separate release on Thursday, the Labor Department data showed that monthly producer prices increased by 0.7% in January, rebounding from a 0.2% decline in the previous month and above projections for growth of 0.4%.

Following the unveiling of the PPI data, major U.S. index futures slipped into the red as investors fretted that the data may persuade the Fed to continue pursuing its hawkish monetary policy for a longer period of time.

Further data this week showed that while annual consumer price inflation in the world's largest economy slowed slightly to 6.4% last month, price growth remains far higher than the Fed's 2% target. Inflation also accelerated on a month-on-month basis, suggesting that the pace of slowing may be losing some steam.

Retail sales expanded by more than predicted to begin the year as well, thanks in part to the robust U.S. employment situation. Persistently elevated inflation gave additional fuel to the data in nominal terms.

Latest comments

We are losing the war on inflation. FED pivot in 2025 or later. 6% plus terminal rate.
the core PPI is still on strong wind, it's possible to touch 6.5%
PPI will show up in future CPI
Exactly
194k jobless claims instead of 195k or 200k.... BFD! Fed is the party pooper... killing people's good productivity, potentially good economy.
They are all fake jobs from government spending that are not creating any wealth and those jobs are being paid byour future selves through the government debt there fore creating inflation by taking out debt to use now creating money that doesnt exist right now to spend on those jobs
Fed is clueless and incapable. At this rate we are headed towards high interest rate and high inflation. still. Inflation won't come down as long as we are not energy independent (high energy prices => all prices high), These people are either incapable or evil.
Stagflation inc for middle class. These bs job numbers and stats. No wonder markets are paranoid
endless fraud and manipulation .
Wait, I just read about economists worried about recession and hard landind.
Fed is relying on very basic old school economics principles (higher interest rates = higher unemployment) and seems not to be accounting for massive demographic shifts due to Covid.
Easy to manipulate and no way you can verify the data
Its called the phillips curve and has been largley discredited
Not surprising at all,its simple nobody wants to work anymore
you mean the boomers who are taking care of their aging parents and their children who are still living with them?
The attitudes and values of most American children are the leading indicator unfortunately.
No wonder young people vote Democratic, the sclerotic knuckledragging GOP fashions contempt of them from cartoon stereotypes.
Fiat currencies are collapsing
Yes, eventually. May take awhile.
Why unexpectedly? Nearly every employer in America has a help wanted sign in their window.
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