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U.S. Unemployment Rate Unexpectedly Rises, Despite Strong Job Creation

Published 02/01/2019, 08:32 AM
Updated 02/01/2019, 08:53 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com - The U.S. employment report for January released on Friday painted a mixed picture of the labor market as job creation smashed expectations, but the jobless rate ticked up unexpectedly and wage inflation saw weakness.

Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) rose by 304,000 in January, compared to the consensus estimate for the creation of 165,000 jobs, and the 213,000 new positions that the ADP report indicated on Wednesday.

December’s reading of NFP was revised down from an initial 312,000 reading to a gain of 222,000.

The jobless rate unexpectedly rose to 4.0%. Analysts had expected it to remain unchanged at 3.9%.

Average hourly earnings advanced 0.1% month-on-month in January, below the consensus estimate of 0.3% and a slowdown from December’s increase of 0.4%.

On an annualized basis, wage inflation grew 3.2% in January, in line with expectations. Average hourly earnings had gained 3.3% the previous month in what was an upward revision from an initial 3.2% rise.

The increase in wages is being closely monitored by the Federal Reserve for evidence of diminishing slack in the labor market and upward pressure on inflation. Economists generally consider an increase of 3.0% or more to be consistent with rising inflation.

Average weekly hours held steady as expected at 34.5 last month.

Government payrolls increased by 8,000 last month, compared to the prior creation of 16,000 public positions.

December’s data on government payrolls was an upward revision from the initial gain of 11,000 public positions.

The participation rate rose to 63.2% last month, from December’s reading of 63.1%.

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The U-6 unemployment rate, that includes those workers who are working part-time for purely economic reasons, increased to 8.1% in January from the prior 7.6%.

Latest comments

Furloughed government employees and their families probably account for the rise in jobs. Also people looking for better pay but the unemployment rate will rise going forward based on the last 80 years of unemployment rates.
No, actuall, since those numbers are not counted as unemployment. Try again
don't agree to Richards analysis. that has too many holes. it is more reasonable to say that the jobs created are not matched with the people looking for jobs. for example USA manufacturing industry is booming due to shale gas revolution. so lots of manufacturing jobs are being created. those manufacturing workers are all already hired. and jobs for ppl looking are actually filled.
It's not surprising. When there are jobs, people put themselves back in the job market. If the jobs numbers continue to increase, the unemployment rate will probably rise for a while and then settle. Full employment for the U.S. is around a 5% unemployment rate.
When unemployment hits all time low it reverses. End of a long term Debt cycle. So from this point on expect the unemployment rate to go up and hit 25% in the next 2-3 years
hi
hallo
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