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U.S. jobless claims hit 10-week high of 211,000

Published 03/09/2023, 08:41 AM
Updated 03/09/2023, 08:53 AM
© Reuters

By Geoffrey Smith 

Investing.com -- The number of people claiming unemployment benefits for the first time rose to a 10-week high last week, a sign that the labor market may be losing its ability to defy gravity.

The Labor Department said initial jobless claims rose to 211,000 last week, from 190,000 the week before. Analysts had expected only a small uptick to 195,000. 

The less volatile four-week average, arguably a better indicator of the trend, also rose to a six-week high of 197,000

At the same time, continuing jobless claims also surprised to the upside, rising to 1.718 million and matching a 14-month high. 

Kathy Jones, chief fixed-income strategist at Charles Schwab, said via social media that the numbers were "small signs that the labor market may be softening."

The figures are more consistent with the slowdown in hiring that analysts have been predicting for weeks as the economy adjusts to a year of interest rate rises from the Federal Reserve. They add weight to claims made by some that the exceptionally high job gains detailed in the first two labor market reports of the year are due largely to seasonal adjustment factors and other statistical oddities, rather than the unbridled strength of the labor market.

Even so, the weekly claims numbers are just one soft data point among several firmer ones. Earlier on Thursday, the Challenger Job Cuts survey, which analyses a cross-section of businesses across the U.S., reported a decline in job cuts last month, supporting anecdotal evidence of labor hoarding by companies in a market where there are still nearly two unfilled jobs for every unemployed person. 

On Wednesday, meanwhile, ADP said private sector payrolls grew by 242,000 through the middle of last month, more than double its estimate for January. 

The Labor Department will release the official employment data for March on Friday at 08:30 ET (13:30 GMT).

Latest comments

The pivot is here!!! Yes, all in all in all in
They should report how many people are retiring year after year. Baby boomers retiring faster pace than new workers are able to enter the job market. Unemployment will be low for years to come .Simple is that. The FED and the government need to print, spend and borrow less money. That will help to bring down inflation. But we know that's not gonna happen.
Exactly this. There is structural/demographic issues driving the labor market fundamentals. Any temporary slack will be absorbed in short order. I checked some job postings yestersay. My bennies package that I thought was borderline free medical and a selling point for my company appears to be now industry standard. That additional cost can only be recouped through higher prices.
how could a conflicted data ? ADP is reporting 100% wrong data as usual
Corporation after corporation laying off 1000’s of employees at a time. These numbers are manipulated.
Anything under 300k is considered a very healthy job market. Higher rates for much longer.
First up, lots of puts. But bulls won't last for very long.
It still rises, beats me
Recession getting closer now. Once unemp goes up its recession time baby
there goes that 50bp
Yea since only 10.84 million open jobs and unemployment still at 3.4% with 1.7 jobs for every person who wants one. You are right 20,000 extra weekly lay offs that forecast (what is that - 0.0005% of open roles?) then projected is sure going to sway any decision making ;)
Rut roh bears
it's not a blow out number. everything still points negative
Wow....a 10 week high.....means the recession is over?......typical manipulative news.......
good news is bad news and bad news is bad news - for the markets - either way the economy and markets are going to crash
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