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U.S. jobless claims hit 10-week high of 211,000

Published Mar 09, 2023 08:41AM ET Updated Mar 09, 2023 08:53AM ET
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© Reuters

By Geoffrey Smith 

Investing.com -- The number of people claiming unemployment benefits for the first time rose to a 10-week high last week, a sign that the labor market may be losing its ability to defy gravity.

The Labor Department said initial jobless claims rose to 211,000 last week, from 190,000 the week before. Analysts had expected only a small uptick to 195,000. 

The less volatile four-week average, arguably a better indicator of the trend, also rose to a six-week high of 197,000

At the same time, continuing jobless claims also surprised to the upside, rising to 1.718 million and matching a 14-month high. 

Kathy Jones, chief fixed-income strategist at Charles Schwab, said via social media that the numbers were "small signs that the labor market may be softening."

The figures are more consistent with the slowdown in hiring that analysts have been predicting for weeks as the economy adjusts to a year of interest rate rises from the Federal Reserve. They add weight to claims made by some that the exceptionally high job gains detailed in the first two labor market reports of the year are due largely to seasonal adjustment factors and other statistical oddities, rather than the unbridled strength of the labor market.

Even so, the weekly claims numbers are just one soft data point among several firmer ones. Earlier on Thursday, the Challenger Job Cuts survey, which analyses a cross-section of businesses across the U.S., reported a decline in job cuts last month, supporting anecdotal evidence of labor hoarding by companies in a market where there are still nearly two unfilled jobs for every unemployed person. 

On Wednesday, meanwhile, ADP said private sector payrolls grew by 242,000 through the middle of last month, more than double its estimate for January. 

The Labor Department will release the official employment data for March on Friday at 08:30 ET (13:30 GMT).

U.S. jobless claims hit 10-week high of 211,000
 

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Comments (13)
William Bailey
William Bailey Mar 09, 2023 12:35PM ET
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The pivot is here!!! Yes, all in all in all in
ZS Beck
ZS Beck Mar 09, 2023 10:39AM ET
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They should report how many people are retiring year after year. Baby boomers retiring faster pace than new workers are able to enter the job market. Unemployment will be low for years to come .Simple is that. The FED and the government need to print, spend and borrow less money. That will help to bring down inflation. But we know that's not gonna happen.
Ji Go
Ji Go Mar 09, 2023 10:39AM ET
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Exactly this. There is structural/demographic issues driving the labor market fundamentals. Any temporary slack will be absorbed in short order. I checked some job postings yestersay. My bennies package that I thought was borderline free medical and a selling point for my company appears to be now industry standard. That additional cost can only be recouped through higher prices.
dennis parker
dennis parker Mar 09, 2023 10:16AM ET
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how could a conflicted data ? ADP is reporting 100% wrong data as usual
Anthony Spencer
Anthony Spencer Mar 09, 2023 10:12AM ET
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Corporation after corporation laying off 1000’s of employees at a time. These numbers are manipulated.
Casador Del Oso
Casador Del Oso Mar 09, 2023 9:55AM ET
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Anything under 300k is considered a very healthy job market. Higher rates for much longer.
Black Bear
Black_Bear Mar 09, 2023 9:44AM ET
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First up, lots of puts. But bulls won't last for very long.
Mar 09, 2023 9:36AM ET
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It still rises, beats me
Jin Young Maeng
Jin Young Maeng Mar 09, 2023 9:35AM ET
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Recession getting closer now. Once unemp goes up its recession time baby
jason xx
jason xx Mar 09, 2023 9:32AM ET
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there goes that 50bp
Peter ONeill
Peter ONeill Mar 09, 2023 9:32AM ET
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Yea since only 10.84 million open jobs and unemployment still at 3.4% with 1.7 jobs for every person who wants one. You are right 20,000 extra weekly lay offs that forecast (what is that - 0.0005% of open roles?) then projected is sure going to sway any decision making ;)
John Berry
John Berry Mar 09, 2023 9:17AM ET
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Rut roh bears
Mark Jannetty
Mark Jannetty Mar 09, 2023 9:17AM ET
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it's not a blow out number. everything still points negative
 
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