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U.S. GDP slows to 1.1% in the first quarter

Published 04/27/2023, 08:12 AM
Updated 04/27/2023, 08:41 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- U.S. economic growth slowed by more than expected in the first quarter, according to preliminary data from the Commerce Department on Thursday.

Real gross domestic product in the world's largest economy increased at an annual rate of 1.1% during the January to March period, slowing from 2.6% in the final three months of 2022. Economists had predicted that the reading would come in at 2.0%.

U.S. government debt came under pressure following the release of the data, with the policy-sensitive United States 2-Year yield inching up 0.12 percentage points to 4.0476% as of 10:06 ET. The United States 10-Year, a key marker of investor confidence and a proxy for global borrowing costs, climbed 0.07 percentage points to 3.509%. Prices move inversely to yields.

Compared to the fourth quarter, the deceleration primarily reflected a downturn in private inventories and nonresidential fixed investment. These trends were partly offset by an uptick in consumer spending, the Commerce Department noted in a statement.

"It was the business sector that held back growth overall with the investment story looking much weaker than expected," analysts at ING said in a note. 

The figures come as the Federal Reserve has aggressively hiked interest rates over the past year in an attempt to cool red-hot inflation.

Next week, the Fed is forecast to raise borrowing costs by another 25 basis points, which would bring the all-important federal funds target to a range of 5% to 5.25%. Officials may be mulling over a subsequent pause in the tightening cycle to give themselves time to examine the impact of last month's turmoil in the financial services sector.

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A sharp dip in shares of regional lender First Republic (NYSE:FRC) has stoked fresh worries that the banking tumult may only be in remission, and not yet completely finished. On Wednesday, First Republic, which reported $100 billion in customer withdrawals in March, saw its stock tumble by 29.75%, extending a series of steep declines throughout this week.

Elsewhere, the number of Americans filing for initial unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell to 230,000, in a potential sign of lingering tightness in the U.S. labor market. The figure, which is down from an upwardly revised total of 246,000 in the prior week, was projected to rise marginally to 248,000. One aim of the Fed's rate rises has been to soften job market demand in the hopes that this trend will help ease overall inflationary pressures.

The four-week moving average, which aims to account for volatility in the weekly data, also decreased by 4,000 to 236,000. Continuing claims, meanwhile, dipped to 1,858,000, but remained near their highest level since 2021.

Latest comments

Why has investing.com stopped identifying the authors of its articles?
I see "Scott Kanowsky" in article.
They've changed it.
Recession. The backbone of the Dow Jones.
the American economy, so far, is not in recession....this is a typical bear market, very predictable, and has nothing to do with biden...if this market doesn't make sense to you, then you should find a different kind of investing.
Bide no nomics. Read Bidenomics. Nothing makes sense anymore.
Brandon!
Biden market. Nothing makes sense anymore.
ROLLING recession they say.
"They" say a lot of things.  Many times, "they" say what foreign propaganda tell them to say.
I'm connected to Wall Street, not foreign influencers.
"Rolling recession" does not mean recession.   The 3 sectors shrinking the most are consumer goods (blame CCP pandemic shutdowns), basic materials (blame Russian aggression and OPEC+) and financial (blame Trump-era banking re-regulation & Russian/CCP-caused global inflation).
every time these cretins rally it up more, I buy more puts. everyone should. take a couple nickels from these GONIFS because given a chance they will and do rob us blind.... garbage market, garbage society. Not much more to say.
absolutely agree. if buy put today. tomorrow more profit
No worries ...Meta already rallies the market ........
no value of gdp number against meta. wow
the labor market is tight because no one is hiring
The number of Americans employed is at all-time-high.
but as a percentage, not true
  In the last 2 years, US population up about 1%, and # of employed up about 7%.  What are your numbers?
I think biden investec his money to pull upmarket as no one investing
Biden has no idea what's going on.
  And Biden still won election.  What does that say about Trump?
That would make Biden richer than Trump.
because usd went up as GDP slowed down and yields went up simple af
USD index & yields should be correlated.
Can anybody tell gdp went down but gold went down also
GDP can grow less in recessions.
  No
Real GDP grows and recession is over.
Soft landing already in the past. Next week 0.25 hike is the final nail in the economy coffin.
Check those PCE numbers.  Raise those rates!
Growth down, Inflation up = stocks up. lol
It was pumped up out of thin air to offset the losses which are coming. Markets are fully managed now...they are not real nor based on fundamentals
I feel sorry for people who take this garbage seriously. Like for real, who would actually believe this has any basis whatsoever in anything even remotely close to reality? It's comical how they take themselves seriously when anyone with half a brain can see right through the nonsense....
Inflation causing 5% tailwind in US Dollar terms.
The Fed is not going to pause. People should quit dreaming. The Fed will raise rates in all of 2023. Powell knows that all wars are highly inflationary. He's adding up the numbers 120-billion spent so far.
agree more rate hike this year. it go at 6
The media should quit putting the garbage out there and Wall St. should also stop peddling the narrative. this is what happens when profit is all that matters: truth gets completely lost, and then you have the complete mess we have now. Kind of suits the US though considering how everything is literally backwards and upside down.....
stagflation
There's no high unemployment or stagnant demand.
... yet. Demand trends are there.
is it good for market...?
not good
Data consistent with a soft landing scenario. The Fed might just pull it off.
brad is a true believer in rainbows and unicorns. he will walk the line for the liberal party
Lol, good answer.
I'm here for the thumb ratios.
loll
Fed is snuffing out the economic baby its its cradle to spite itself.
Lol so all stocks will rise, as Fed will soon begin the process of printing money. Woo hoo as if recession is nothing
US economy collapse. no good earning this year. enjoy US
Brandon, the senile puppet, should be in a half house, not the white house.
Half house? Why don't you finish high school?
Awww.... You poor Brandon fan! Looks like I hit you where it hurts. Go suck on your sissy cup. Adults are talking here.
Sorry I embarrassed you.
Biden broke it
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