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U.S. GDP Grew Record 33.1% Annualized in Third Quarter

Published 10/29/2020, 08:27 AM
Updated 10/29/2020, 08:35 AM
©  Reuters

By Geoffrey Smith 

Investing.com -- The U.S. economy grew at its fastest rate since records began in the third quarter, reversing much - but by no means all - of the output lost in the second quarter under the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

The Commerce Department said gross domestic product grew at an annualized 33.1% in the quarter, after contracting by 31% in the second quarter. Analysts had expected an expansion of 31.9%.

U.S. stock futures turned positive on the news, with the Dow 30 futures contract rising 110 points in response, erasing earlier losses for the session. The dollar also strengthened to $1.1706 against the euro, albeit the latter was hit by the European Central Bank signaling after its council meeting that it will likely ease monetary policy again in December.

The figures, while spectacular, are essentially backward-looking and exaggerated by the habit of annualizing GDP data.  They reflect the reopening of many businesses in the summer after government-mandated stay-at-home orders had crippled both manufacturing and services output in the spring.

"The general population judge living standards by their personal experience, not abstract concepts," said Paul Donovan, chief economist with UBS Global Wealth Management, in a morning podcast.

An arguably better indication of current developments in the economy came from the weekly jobless claims numbers, which were released at the same time.

Initial claims for jobless benefits fell by more than expected to their lowest since March, at 751,000, while continuing claims fell to 7.756 million.

Latest comments

it's Great achievement in this current situation.
Here is the GDP average growth under the last 7 presidents including Trump. Trump is in last place by far: Jimmy Carter (D): 3.25%Ronald Reagan (R): 3.48%George H.W. Bush (R): 2.25%Bill Clinton (D): 3.88%George W. Bush (R): 2.2%Barack Obama (D): 1.62%Donald Trump (R): 0.95%
based on current situation this is great achievement , if you see other countries it's negative instead of positive
I am crazy safe save the money
OK, I posted earlier and it was lost or buried in the frey.  Math can easily be misinterpreted.  Lets say at the end of quarter 1, our GDP was 100 trillion.  OK, the news said in quarter 2 we lost 31.4%, so that would be 69.6 trillion.  Then we gain back 33.1% of the 69.6 trillion or 92.6 trillion at the end of quarter 3.  So it seems we might have actually lost ground.  Regardless, if we loose 31.4% in quarter 2 and then gain back 33.1% in quarter 3, it doesnt seem that much has changed, and the govt printed up another 3 trillion dollars to achieve this, and then report it as such a great achievement!  Where are our mathematicians?  It  doesnt make much sense to say economically we are doing great, when things are pretty rough.
US GDP increases with more debt consumption. At some point this won't work
Riddle me this: how am I getting notifications that both GDP recovered 33.1% and oil is at a five month low?
virtual world & virtual GDP don't require physical energy.
Contradictions do not apply. Bullish Forever! Weeeeeeee!
Black Rock is, with Treasury money, supporting the stock market, not oil market.
goos
Dow is up 0.07%, which is effectively 0, so it seems that investors don't believe this wonderful news?
At least a study case. How these times can it hapen?
Arguably government control sure can shutdown an economy but injecting borrowed trillions can resurrect it. It will likely take years to pay back this debt load, but without free market capitalism it will be impossible altogether.
Watch....the Trumpers out there will misinterpret this wonderful news....once again proving you can take a Trumper to school, but you can’t make him think....
If you say trump loud enough it makes you right.
amazing how great an economy can grow when you start from a negative growth value
like a fake news
The GDP is not accurate due to PAST Stimulus checks and business stimulus given. Publisher should of had this IMPORTANT information in the article.
if you call dumping $2 Trillion into the money supply growth.. uhh sure why not
By the time enough people start to doubt this number today, markets will have given up this morning’s gains.
Back in 2016 the official unemployment rate was 5% but Trump said it was more like 42%.   Using the same math now, the official unemployment rate is 8% so the Trump unemployment rate is more like 37%, right?
if you look at year over year, gdp is down around 2%, but we have 10 million people out of work.. it doesn't make any sense. Something is being manipulated here.
it is an illusion they can make up, say 7% 17% all fake
Dont matter. Gdp is up but unemployment r at record high. It means the bosses, the rich pocketed all grew. Employees get the stick.
It "Grew" about 2% per the info at Most
Recovered. Not "Grew".
Andrew nailed it!
exactly, they take it as achievment 😀
I'm pretty sure Trump is gonna be reelected. The polls are wrong (again).
I don't think that's the case this time, there's more Republicans voting for Biden than for the orange jellyfish.
With this news trump just won the re election!
regardless numbers people are worse of today than before
.. have heard of the covid? maybe that's why?.. lets think this over.. nobody was complaining about the last 3 years .. where everyone had money in their pockets...hmmmm?
Sell the open?
Abstract concepts huh - wonder who he's voting for?
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