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U.S. Falls Into Technical Recession After Second Straight Quarterly Contraction

Published 07/28/2022, 08:38 AM
Updated 07/28/2022, 08:40 AM
© Reuters.

By Scott Kanowsky

Investing.com -- U.S. growth contracted in the second quarter, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Thursday, as the world's largest economy failed to avoid slumping into a so-called technical recession.

Preliminary gross domestic product in the country fell by 0.9% on an annualized basis during the period, marking the second straight quarterly decline after the reading dropped by 1.6% in the first three months of the year. Two consecutive quarters of negative figures can be defined as a 'technical recession'.

However, the U.S. does not adhere to that definition, instead following a determination from the National Bureau of Economic Research that is based on several different factors such as the labor market and underlying demand.

The slip in GDP also surprised economists, who had estimated that growth would rise by 0.5%.

"The decrease in real GDP reflected decreases in private inventory investment, residential fixed investment, federal government spending, state and local government spending, and nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by increases in exports and personal consumption expenditures," the Bureau of Economic Analysis said in a statement.

U.S. stock markets opened marginally higher despite the data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up by 0.23%, the S&P 500 rose by 0.32%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite increased by 0.28%.

Elsewhere, the dollar index - which measures the greenback against a basket of several other currencies - narrowly held on to gains, trading up by 0.04%.

The numbers come a day after the Federal Reserve moved to raise interest rates by 75 basis points for the second month in a row in a bid to bring down red-hot inflation. But these jumbo hikes have weighed on growth, evidenced by a string of weak economic data.

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"Powell’s strong focus on the inflation mandate therefore supports our forecast that the economy will in fact go into recession in the second half of this year. There is still a path to a soft landing, but it is too narrow to be our base case," analysts at Bank of America wrote in a note.

Even still, the central bank does not look poised to change its stance any time soon. Fed chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that he does not believe the U.S. is currently in a recession, citing in part recent tightness in the labor market.

Initial weekly jobless claims, also released on Thursday, came in at 256,000. The figure is down from the revised number of 261,000 during the previous week, suggesting a nascent slowdown in the labor market may be waning.

Meanwhile, unemployment remains at 3.6%, touching a low not seen since before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Latest comments

ok
Technical recession 😂😂😂
this will be a red avalanche...and i hope all those corrupt dems get recalled before or quit....or take the easy way out
There's that nasty word recession fake financial journalist hopes that the algos picks it up but futures are up better luck next time go tell your overlords they are going broke tomorrow.
its funny that you say that but the overlords have been kiling all the small guys for the past 6 months lol
try 6 centuries
Not only paid review, paid article is a new career.
Weak economic data? But google did ok (not really) so markets soared?
Trying to change the meaning of words for political games has to stop. let's focus on the issues not the semantics.
Better article than the AP's bull *******lies
technical recession? labor shortage, sky high energy prices, but let's call it a technical recession
In a recession, high unemployment is experienced. Not so today in US.
Not yet
the reason unemployment hasnt spiked yet is because inflation is literally 9% y/y. When inflation is high unemployment always stays low. This is basic economics. E
the only way is up!
😂
hahaa
Whocares? As long as crypto pump
a fool and his money are soon parted
NQ went up 4% yesterday!!!! and now we are down 50 basis? oh noes!! how could this happen? golly me!
Even these financials writters are drinking from the same cup. Technical Recession, seriously. That had to be a first in the history of the country. I hate to inform this writer but it will be classified as a recession in the books.
Please educate yourself, the NBER needs to confirm it as a recession, as it has always been. Unemployment is ecxtremely low, most of this recession is due to stimulus runoffs and personal saving declines from last year.
market went up hard, so it comes down harder, the gravity
Great time to BUY
what went up comes down, the law of gravity.
technically you and your government are bunch of 🤡🤡🤡
lol
lol
If not a recession, the FED can keep raising rates.
that was yesterday
Powell's looking the other way hoping Joe will let him keep his job while they pat each other on the back.
You kidding? Joe doesn't know which time zone he's in!!
recession- after putting so much helicopter money?
c'mon man! This is just technically a recession, not a recession. Let's go Brandon!
just call it what it is, an actual recession. The corrupt fed needs to be abolished, they have failed time and time again with their mandates.
Yep. It's literally designed to hurt people
failed who? from what I see the elites are doing very well
When in the past has the US not adhered to that definition? Must be nice being able to move the goal posts everytime you have mud on your face.
and the CDC and WHO also changed the definitions of a "pandemic" and "cases" also to make the whole thing seem a whole lot worse - they're always changing the definition of words to suit their slippery agenda!
damnit Janet, good job
When in the past has the US not adhered to that definition? Must be nice being able to move the goal posts everytime you have mud on your face.
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