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Singapore's core inflation rate hits nine-month low as central bank decision looms

Published 03/25/2019, 02:52 AM
Updated 03/25/2019, 02:52 AM
© Reuters. People chat as the skyline of Singapore's financial district is seen in the background

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Singapore's core inflation rate eased to a nine-month low in February, reinforcing expectations that the central bank will keep monetary policy unchanged when it meets next month.

The core inflation rate was 1.5 percent on a year-on-year basis, data showed on Monday, its lowest since May 2018, and below the median forecast in a Reuters poll for a 1.7 percent rise.

"The lower than-expected inflation print basically reinforces our call for MAS to stay unchanged (in April)," UOB economist Barnabas Gan said, referring to the Monetary Authority of Singapore, the city-state's central bank.

The MAS tightened policy at each of its semi-annual meetings in 2018, the first tightening in six years. Its meeting next month comes against the backdrop of a raft of underwhelming domestic data and concerns over the health of the global economy.

The core inflation measure - closely watched by central bankers - excludes changes in the prices of cars and accommodation, which are more heavily influenced by government policies.

Meanwhile, Singapore's headline consumer price index edged up 0.5 percent in February from a year earlier, due to more gradual declines in private road transport and accommodation costs.

The median forecast in the poll was for all-items CPI to rise 0.5 percent. In January, headline CPI rose 0.4 percent year-on-year.

© Reuters. People chat as the skyline of Singapore's financial district is seen in the background

Singapore will release February industrial production data on Tuesday. Factory output shrank to its lowest in two-and-a-half years in January.

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