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Russian industry targeted, not consumers, if Biden export curbs imposed

Published 01/28/2022, 10:01 PM
Updated 01/28/2022, 11:11 PM
© Reuters. A flag is seen on the U.S. delegation's car, which is parked in front of the headquarters of the Russian Foreign Ministry in Moscow, Russia January 26, 2022. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov

© Reuters. A flag is seen on the U.S. delegation's car, which is parked in front of the headquarters of the Russian Foreign Ministry in Moscow, Russia January 26, 2022. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov

By Karen Freifeld

(Reuters) -The Biden administration plans to spare everyday Russians from the brunt of U.S. export controls if Russia invades Ukraine, https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-buildup-ukraine-border-includes-blood-wounded-us-officials-say-2022-01-28 and focus on targeting industrial sectors, a White House official said.

"Key people" will also face "massive sanctions," a top Commerce official said in a separate speech on Friday.

The comments narrow the scope of potential curbs on imports to Russia that had previously been described as disrupting Russia's economy more broadly, hitting industrial sectors and consumer technologies like smartphones.

"We can't preview every action, but the intent there really is to have measures that we think will degrade Russia's industrial capabilities and industrial production capacity over time, not to go after individual, everyday Russian consumers," White House national security official Peter Harrell said in a virtual speech for the Massachusetts Export Center on Thursday that received little media coverage.

Harrell, who sits on the National Security Council, said the United States was prepared, immediately after an invasion of Ukraine, to impose "crippling financial costs on major Russian financial institutions as well as to impose a range of quite sweeping export controls that will degrade Russian industrial capacity over the mid- and long term."

Commerce Department official Thea Kendler, who spoke to the export gathering on Friday, said "We are contemplating massive sanctions targeting key people and industries that were not on the table in 2014." That year Russia invaded and annexed Crimea from Ukraine.

Three days ago President Joe Biden said he would consider personal sanctions https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/us-seeks-protect-europes-energy-supplies-if-russia-invades-ukraine-2022-01-25 on Russian President Vladimir Putin if he sent forces into Ukraine.

Harrell said he hoped the hundreds of hours he and his colleagues had spent over the last couple of months developing measures would never see the light of day, but that they are prepared to impose the sweeping measures.

The two-fold strategy includes financial sanctions against major Russian financial institutions "to trigger capital flight, to trigger inflation, to make the Russian central bank provide bailouts to its banks... so Putin feels costs on day one," Harrell said.

Export control measures would be announced as part of the package but would probably not have the same immediate impacts, and instead "degrade Russia's ability to have industrial production in a couple of key sectors".

Harrell did not detail the sectors, but other White House officials have mentioned aviation, maritime, robotics, artificial intelligence, quantum computing and defense.

A person familiar with the matter told Reuters on Thursday the focus was on strategic sectors significant to Russian leadership. Asked about Russia's lucrative oil and gas sector, the person said nothing was off the table.

In a follow-up comment, White House spokesperson Emily Horne also said no options had been eliminated.

"We and our allies have a full range of high-impact sanctions and export controls ready to go, both immediately after a Russian invasion and in waves to follow,” Horne said.

Harrell said he expected the European Union to join in the effort. "Based on the discussions I've been having and, frankly, people way above me ... we are quite confident we will have a very high degree of alignment with Europe if Russia does invade Ukraine."

© Reuters. A flag is seen on the U.S. delegation's car, which is parked in front of the headquarters of the Russian Foreign Ministry in Moscow, Russia January 26, 2022. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov

Sources have said the U.S. also may apply a rule to stop companies abroad from shipping items like semiconductors made with U.S. technology to Russia, as it did to curb the global chip supply to China's Huawei, which it views as a threat.

The person familiar with the matter said on Thursday that U.S. officials are also having conversations with Taiwan and South Korea, where major manufacturers of chips are located, and countries in southeast Asia, where some packaging is done.

Latest comments

2 things America needs to know. 1. Russia would kick their arses. 2. America has very limited sanctions to apply since Russia has almost entirely dedolarised and has enormous reserves....brandon will fail just like Afghanistan.
Target the consumers, and you contribute to a revolt during next Russian elections. Target Putin and nobody in Russia really cares.
I think the US and NATO may make a fatal mistake. Russia is a huge nation with huge natural resources. Also it is a nation with its nuke  missiles capable of destroying all of us in minutes. Also, Russia has good relations with another huge nation, that is China, and with many other potential nations. Russia is also a permanent member of the UN. Do you think Russia will only give in to your sanctions without any response? Not at all. Russia will take revenge in many other forms from attacking you at the UN to sending nuke missiles to the nations which are hostile to NATO and it may provide advanced weapons to the enemies of the US, the UK...it may also prohibit US satelites from flying on its sky and may shoot them down. The world's economy may suffer much more. With those pumpkin-headed in power in the US and the UK now, I think the WW3 will break out very soon.
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