Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Oil dips on global economic slowdown, but OPEC-led cuts provide support

Published 01/15/2019, 11:06 PM
Updated 01/15/2019, 11:06 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO:  A pumpjack is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg

By Colin Packham and Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil prices dipped on Wednesday on increasing signs of a global economic slowdown, although OPEC-led supply cuts helped support Brent crude above $60 per barrel.

International Brent crude oil futures (LCOc1) were at $60.53 per barrel at 0403 GMT, down 11 cents, or 0.2 percent, from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures (CLc1) were down 11 cents, or 0.2 percent, at $52 a barrel.

Prices were weighed down as signs of a global economic slowdown mounted.

China, Asia's biggest economy, faces rising trade uncertainties this year, a commerce ministry official said on Wednesday, after the government earlier this week reported poor December trade data, with both exports and imports contracting from a year earlier.

In Japan, core machinery orders slowed sharply in November in a sign corporate capital expenditure could lose momentum as a bruising U.S.-China trade war spills into the global economy.

Adding to the trade woes, the U.S. economy is taking a larger-than-expected hit from a partial government shutdown, White House estimates showed on Tuesday, as contractors and even the Coast Guard go without pay and talks to end the impasse seem stalled.

The outlook for the global economy darkened further when British lawmakers on Tuesday overwhelmingly rejected Prime Minister Theresa May's deal to leave the European Union.

Oil prices are receiving support from supply cuts started late last year by producer group the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and major non-OPEC producer Russia.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

However, surging U.S. crude oil production , which hit a record 11.7 million barrels per day late last year, threatens to undermine the OPEC-led efforts.

U.S. crude oil output is expected to rise to a record of more than 12 million barrels per day (bpd) this year and to climb to nearly 13 million bpd next year, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Tuesday in its first 2020 forecast.

With so much uncertainty around demand and supply, the outlook for oil markets is unclear.

Oil prices are expected to oscillate close to current levels, according to a large annual survey of energy professionals conducted by Reuters between Jan. 8 and 11, with Brent prices in 2019 expected to average $65 per barrel, unchanged from surveys in 2016, 2017 and 2018.

"Fundamentals offer no clear price direction," said Norbert Ruecker, head of commodity research at Swiss bank Julius Baer.

"The oil market remains amply supplied and prices are set to trade rangebound," he said. "Softening demand makes too-high prices short-lived ... Similarly, (supply) cuts and slowing shale output make too-low prices short-lived."

Latest comments

.20 cents where I live. I don't know man, maybe they know something that we don't. You would think it's crazy to hike prices that much in this kind of environment... Time will tell...
Oil company greedy thieves raised the prices of unleaded gas .30 gallon over last 24 hours locally St.petersburg, Florida !
They didnt post my comment, while i was saying the same thing, now it is up 5 cents, call that a spike
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.