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Oil falls after Trump downplays optimistic China trade reports

Published 11/11/2019, 06:31 AM
Updated 11/11/2019, 06:31 AM
© Reuters. Oil pumpjack is seen in La Canada de Urdaneta

By Shadia Nasralla

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices dipped on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to downplay reports of an imminent lifting of tariffs in a protracted U.S.-Chinese trade war.

Brent crude was down 87 cents at $61.64 by 1030 GMT. The contract gained 1.3% last week.

U.S. crude was 88 cents lower at $56.36 a barrel, having risen 1.9% last week.

Trump said on Saturday that trade talks with China were moving along "very nicely" but the United States would only make a deal with Beijing if it was the right one for America.

Trump also said there had been incorrect reporting about U.S. willingness to lift tariffs as part of a "phase one" agreement, news of which had boosted markets.

The 16-month trade war between the world's two biggest economies has slowed economic growth around the world and prompted analysts to lower forecasts for oil demand, raising concerns that a supply glut could develop in 2020.

"We expect the sideward trading to continue for the time being, with the trade conflict headlines likely to dictate the direction," Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) said in a note.

Oil futures often trade in tandem with shares. Equities across the globe fell on Monday on escalating violence in Hong Kong. Asian stocks had their worst day since August.

Underlining the impact of the trade war, data over the weekend showed that China's producer prices fell the most in more than three years in October.

Auto sales in China fell for a 16th consecutive month in October, data showed on Monday.

Investors are also concerned about excess supplies of crude, analysts said.

The oil market outlook for next year may have upside potential, OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo said last week, suggesting there is no need to cut output further.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies led by Russia meet in early December. The so-called OPEC+ alliance has since January cut output by 1.2 million barrels per day under a deal set to last until March 2020.

Lukoil (MM:LKOH), Russia's second biggest oil producer, expects the global oil production cut deal, known as OPEC+, to be extended, its chief said on Monday.

© Reuters. Oil pumpjack is seen in La Canada de Urdaneta

Meanwhile in North America, TC Energy Corp's (TO:TRP) 590,000-barrel-per-day Keystone oil pipeline has returned to service, operating at reduced pressure with a gradual increase of volumes.

Latest comments

Buy bidu. Period. At these levels and being as cheap as it it with singles day biggest ever. Its a STEAL
Iran's oil minister said Monday that an oil field whose discovery President Hassan Rouhani announced at the weekend adds only 22.2 billion barrels to the country's estimated crude reserves. Out of the amount at the site, only a tenth -- 2.2 billion barrels --- can be extracted due to technological limitations
Everyday, "Oil goes up on trade optimism". "Oil goes down on doubts of trade deal". Stop it already!
buy when its down.. Trump doesn't want to release tariffs you buy.. wait till he does and boom, you've made some money .simple as this
  he may have said no to tariffs roll backs ... just wait a second for a journalist to report that now he rolling it back and handing out candy canes to China's children as Santa
 yes buy what you can
ok... let me predict what the same writer will be writing tomorrow.... "trade deal is progressing well".
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