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Oil turns negative as OPEC eyes Russia suspension from output deal

Published 05/30/2022, 08:43 PM
Updated 05/31/2022, 03:20 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO - Models of oil barrels and a pump jack are displayed in front of a rising stock graph and "$100" in this illustration taken February 24, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration


By Arathy Somasekhar

HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil prices turned negative on Tuesday after a report that some producers were exploring the idea of suspending Russia's participation in the OPEC+ production deal.

While there was no formal push for Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries to pump more oil to make up for any potential Russian shortfall, some Gulf members had begun planning for an output increase sometime in the next few months, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing OPEC delegates.

Brent crude futures for August, the most actively traded contract, settled down $2, or 1.7%, at $115.60 a barrel, after rising to $120.80 earlier in the day. The front-month contract for July, which expired on Tuesday, closed up $1.17, or 1%, at $122.84.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $114.67 a barrel, down 40 cents or 0.4% from Friday's close. Earlier in the session, it had touched $119.98, its highest since March 9. There was no settlement on Monday's U.S. Memorial Day holiday.

"The suspension of Russia from OPEC plus could be a precursor to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates utilizing their spare production capacity, because they would feel that they no longer have a production quota agreement that needs to recognize Russia's interest," said Andrew Lipow of Lipow Oil Associates in Houston.

OPEC and allies led by Russia, collectively known as OPEC+, have been unwinding record output cuts in place since the COVID-19 pandemic took hold in 2020. Under a deal reached in July last year, the group was set to increase output targets by 432,000 barrels per day every month until the end of September.

However, Russian crude output in April fell by nearly 9% from the previous month, an internal OPEC+ report showed this month.

Despite the late reversal in direction in the session, both benchmarks ended May higher, marking the sixth straight month of gains. They have risen more than 70% over the period.

The premium of August-loading Brent contracts over a six-month spread hit a nine-week high at close to $15 a barrel, indicating current supply tightness.

Prices were supported most of the session after the European Union agreed to a partial and phased ban on Russian oil, China decided to lift some COVID-19 restrictions and the U.S. summer driving season kicked off.

EU leaders agreed in principle to cut 90% of oil imports from Russia, the bloc's toughest sanction yet on Moscow since the invasion of Ukraine three months ago.

Once fully adopted, sanctions on crude will be phased in over six months and on refined products over eight months. The embargo exempts pipeline oil from Russia as a concession to Hungary.

U.S. crude oil production rose in March by more than 3% to 11.7 million bpd, its the highest since November, according to the government. However, output has been slow to recover from the impact of the coronavirus pandemic and is still far below its record high of 12.3 million bpd in 2019.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO - Models of oil barrels and a pump jack are displayed in front of a rising stock graph and

Oil prices found further support as Shanghai announced an end to its COVID-19 lockdown, and will allow people in China's largest city to leave their homes and drive their cars from Wednesday.

U.S. retail gasoline prices also touched a record national average of $4.622 a gallon, according to AAA gas prices data as Memorial Day weekend marked the official start of the summer driving season.

Latest comments

No matter what it is but it's the poor and the middle class who suffered a lot bcoz of oil rate hike. United States as a super power should do something as to stop this war.
for the sake of the citizens of Europe they should have taken a healthy decision rather the one they taken.
perfect, oil prices to the moon
there is no spare capacity
Nice to see Brent getting A LITTLE respect, for a change. CONSIDER $300/ bbl.
No thanks nothing wrong with democracy
European Union just making their people more miserable. Corrupted, old and imperialist organisation. Revolution in Europe is necessary!!!
Traitor trump wants us to stop helping Ukraine before putin releases the P ee video
You know everyone can tell that you're a desperate shill right? We're all aware that you miss Trump dearly but it's time to let go.
ahhh beautiful no more Dems in charge after midterms
really?  did you read it on one of the Q websites that Trump will be re-installed as president after the midterm election?
lol "q websites". such a boomer comment.
Nils take your redneck gun and do us all a favour and go home to your log cabin. This forum is for people who knows how the world works. Trump was and is a disaster for the world and he has betrayed his country several times and is putins hope
Total Biden problem and cause
You are a Simp to terrorists and child rapists
incoming lame duck season....quack quack
Yet americans still blame Biden🤣
Dum ones
Redneck states believe in no abortions, guns or machine guns for everyone including kids in school and they love trump….The greatest liar on earth
william smith, amazing that we hear from the right wing Trump fanatics tryin to blame biden for high prices in crude using lies and misinformation. the oil industry has 10 years worth(+9000)) 0f unused leases at it's disposal. the oil industry, with it's management, decided holding the line on development; nearly 60% cited investor pressure to maintain "capital discipline" as the primary reason oil companies weren't drilling. the keystone pipeline was being built to move heavy crude from Canada to the shipping points along the Gulf Coast and shipped to East Asia to be refined for the markets in Asia and China. smith, you know nothing how the crude markets work.
Nearly 100% of what you cited above is false. I don’t even know where to start. 1. There at not 9,000 leases owned by the Majors that are permitted for the park extraction. 2. Investors are not pressuring oil companies to not drill. 3. The oil companies do not have permission to refine the volumes in the US so they are shipping abroad for refining. Almost all of our Diesel is refined offshore and that’s because it’s not permitted to be done here. That’s why Diesel is higher price than regular gasoline.
this is a wall street problem.... not a political one.
oh it's not Trump anymore!
thinks
amazing that we hear from the right wing Trump fanatics tryin to blame biden for high prices in crude using lies and misinformation. the oil industry has 10 years worth,9000 unused leases, in used leases at it's disposal. the oil industry with it's management decided holding the line on development. nearly 60% cited investor pressure to maintain "capital discipline" as the primary reason oil companies weren't drilling. in
More cheap oil for China, while American's send more of their oil to Europe when they can least afford to.
cheap oil? even after the 30% discount they are still paying more for oil than 2021, you think they are happy about that?
Oil is going to 200 a barell
i have my bicycle ready. I just hope it doesn't rain. xD
Not if you are buying from Russia, like China is, along with many other adversaries of the US and Europe.  Nothing like punishing your own people while benefiting your enemies.
Almost 400$ by the end of the decade. Got gold?
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