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Oil Prices Pause as Investors Take Profits, Weigh Competing Arguments

Published 03/21/2019, 10:01 AM
Updated 03/21/2019, 10:01 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com - Oil prices pulled back slightly from 2019 highs on Thursday as a strong upward rally took a pause amid competing arguments for future price direction.

New York-traded West Texas Intermediate crude futures lost 12 cents, or 0.2%, at $60.11 a barrel by 9:57 AM ET (13:57 GMT).

Meanwhile, Brent crude futures, the benchmark for oil prices outside the U.S., traded down 22 cents, or 0.3%, to $68.28.

Thursday’s meager profit-taking comes with U.S. crude up more than 5% this month and more than 30% so far this year while the debate between bulls and bears rages on.

“There are two competing arguments for the future trajectory of oil prices,” energy analyst Ellen. R. Wald said.

In the bullish case, production cuts from OPEC, and its allies led by Russia, coupled with U.S. sanctions on Iran and Venezuela have supported oil prices by reducing global supply. In the U.S., government data showed that crude stockpiles registered their largest decline since July, providing further evidence of market tightening.

Adding to the case for higher oil prices, Wald said that U.S. President Donald Trump’s foreign policy was likely to seek to further eliminate sources of oil, outweighing the impact of escalating production stateside. EIA data this week showed that U.S. output returned to a record high of 12.1 million barrels per day.

But Wald indicated that the bearish argument pointed to weak economic data in Europe and China. Although American economic data indicates solid demand, European and Chinese data tell a different story, she said.

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“If the U.S. and China do not come to a trade agreement soon, China’s economy could further sputter,” Wald warned.

China confirmed Thursday that U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will travel to Beijing on March 28-29 for high level trade talks, while China’s Vice Premier Liu He will then travel to Washington in early April.

However, Trump warned on Wednesday that he will keep tariffs on China in place until he is sure that Beijing is complying with the terms of any trade agreement.

In other energy trading, gasoline futures slipped 0.1% to $1.9155 a gallon by 9:59 AM ET (13:59 GMT), while heating oil lost 0.6% to $1.9969 a gallon.

Lastly, natural gas futures traded down 0.6% to $2.803 per million British thermal units.

Latest comments

what about Algeria, in solidarity with the manifestation across the country. the workers of the biggest oil company in Algeria are entering in a strike next week, there are talks about cutting all the production activities, I guess this will have an impact on the oil prices.
Oil prices are choking what little oxygen is needed to keep the economic engine going. Bit like trying to start old lawn mower and keeping it running.
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