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Oil up 3% on robust U.S. fuel consumption, tight supply outlook

Published 08/17/2022, 08:20 PM
Updated 08/18/2022, 03:06 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack pumps oil in a field near Calgary, Alberta, Canada on July 21, 2014.  REUTERS/Todd Korol

By Scott DiSavino

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices gained about 3% on Thursday as positive U.S. economic data and robust U.S. fuel consumption offset concerns that slowing economic growth in other countries could undercut demand.

Brent futures rose $2.94, or 3.1%, to settle at $96.59 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $2.39, or 2.7%, to settle at $90.50.

Prices rose more than 1% during the previous session, although Brent at one point fell to its lowest since February, as signs of a slowdown mounted in some places.

"Oil prices rallied after another round of impressive U.S. economic data boosted optimism for an improving crude demand outlook," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at data and analytics firm OANDA. Moya also noted that OPEC will not allow the recent pullback in oil prices to continue much further.

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits fell last week and the prior period's data was revised sharply lower, suggesting labor market conditions remain tight despite slower momentum due to higher interest rates.

The new secretary general of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Haitham Al Ghais, told Reuters that policymakers, lawmakers and insufficient oil and gas sector investments are to blame for high energy prices, not the cartel.

At its next meeting in September, Al Ghais said OPEC+, which includes other oil suppliers like Russia, "could cut production if necessary, we could add production if necessary. ... It all depends on how things unfold."

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U.S. crude stocks fell by 7.1 million barrels in the week to Aug. 12, Energy Information Administration data showed, against expectations for a 275,000-barrel drop, as exports hit a record 5 million barrels per day (bpd).

Bans by the European Union on Russian oil exports could dramatically tighten supply and drive up prices in coming months.

"The EU embargoes will force Russia to shut in around 1.6 million (bpd) of output by year-end, rising to 2 million bpd in 2023," consultancy BCA research said in a note.

Russia, however, forecasts rising output and exports until the end of 2025, an economy ministry document seen by Reuters showed, saying revenue from energy exports will rise 38% this year, partly due to higher oil export volumes.

MORE CAUTIOUS

Oil prices rose despite the possibility of increased supplies from Iran and worries that demand could drop if China imposes more lockdowns to stop the spread of COVID, along with slowing economic growth as central banks raise interest rates to control runaway inflation.

The market is awaiting developments from talks to revive Iran's 2015 nuclear deal with world powers, which could lead to a roughly 1 million bpd boost in Iranian oil exports.

Open interest in U.S. futures fell on Wednesday to the lowest since January 2015 as investors cut back on risky assets like commodities, worried central banks will keep raising rates.

The U.S. dollar index, meanwhile, hit a near five-week high on Thursday.

A stronger dollar reduces demand for oil by making the fuel more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

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Latest comments

soe paing
John Spot on. $150 a barrel for WTI is incoming by the end of 2022. This gimmick is the only reason that Biden has done with the reserves why oil is down. A -7,000,000 barrel read today should say everything you need to know. We are so short supplied. Oil should already be well over $110 a barrel
Biden’s SPR release ends in October. The EU Russian sanctions take effect on Dec 5th. If China ends their ridiculous lockdowns $125 per barrel will look cheap in January.
overall crude stock inventory is up over 10 million barrels since April of this year, while gasoline inventories are up 15 million barrels despite the weekly ups and downs reported. Neither support the need for higher oil or gasoline prices. The prices are only the make believe world the speculators want everyone to believe, it is all price gouging by the oil companies, middlemen and retail distributors.
Joe Fred stole my thunder :D
no one takes into account because they don’t use common sense anymore in the markets. Oil is going to $150 a barrel. The only reason like you just said is because of taking from the SPR. We have to re-fill that. And we are already short oil every day almost 2,000,000 barrels. This is simple first grade common sense. WTI is going away higher by the end of the year
How come in just 5 days the OPEC and EIA data is proven wrong? There was no demand now there no supply :(
Inflation reduction budget looks like in other word inflation booming budget.
Thanks Democrates. specially vice president.
Oil prices will be going back up..Biden inflation alive and well
Why do you hate America?
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