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Oil settles up more than 4% on prospect of OPEC+ supply cut

Published 08/28/2022, 08:28 PM
Updated 08/29/2022, 03:36 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The logo of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is pictured at its headquarters in Vienna, Austria, August 21, 2015. REUTERS/Heinz-Peter Bader

By Laura Sanicola

(Reuters) - Oil prices settled up more than 4% on Monday, extending last week's gain, as potential OPEC+ output cuts and conflict in Libya helped to offset a strong U.S. dollar and a dire outlook for U.S. growth.

Saudi Arabia, top producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), last week raised the possibility of production cuts, which sources said could coincide with a boost in supply from Iran should it clinch a nuclear deal with the West.

OPEC+, comprising OPEC, Russia and allied producers, meets to set policy on Sept. 5.

Brent crude settled up $4.10, or 4.1%, at $105.09 a barrel, having risen by 4.4% last week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained $3.95, or 4.2%, to$ 97.01, after rallying 2.5% last week.

"Oil prices are inching higher on hopes of a production cut from OPEC and its allies to restore market balance in response to the revival of Iran's nuclear deal," said Sugandha Sachdeva, vice president of commodity research at Religare Broking.

Nations that are members of the International Energy Agency could release more oil from strategic petroleum reserves (SPR) if they find it necessary when the current scheme expires, the head of the agency said on Monday.

The price of crude oil has surged this year, with Brent coming close to a record high of $147 in March as Russia's invasion of Ukraine exacerbated supply concerns. Rising fears over high interest rates, inflation and recession risks have since weighed on the market.

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Oil's gain was limited by a strong U.S. dollar, which hit a 20-year high on Monday after the Federal Reserve chairman signalled that interest rates would be kept higher for longer to curb inflation. [USD/]

"While a strong dollar restrains broad commodity prices, the undersupply issue in the oil markets will probably continue to support the upside bias," said CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng.

Unrest in Libya's capital at the weekend, resulting in 32 deaths, sparked concern that the country could slide into a full-blown conflict and disrupt in oil supply from the OPEC nation.

U.S. crude oil stockpiles likely fell 600,000 barrels with distillates and gasoline inventories also seen down, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.

The poll was conducted ahead of reports from the American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, due at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday, and the Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, due at 10:30 a.m. (1430 GMT) on Wednesday.

Crude inventory in the U.S. emergency reserves fell by 3.1 million barrels in the week to Aug. 26 to the lowest since December 1984, according to data from the Department of Energy.

Latest comments

hmm, you might want to look up Iraq.  2nd largest Oil producer in OPEC.  Big problems there which added to todays spike in Oil..
can someone please explain why the world is allowing this puppet dictators/monarchies in the ME et al hold the whole world to ransom. Simply replace the Saudi royal family, Kuwaiti etc with some new puppets that do whatever they are told.
Too much hope
Oil needs to stay 80$ per barrel, From now on. Evs are a pipe dream like green deal!!
I see manipulation coming to oil market to bring down inflation
Oil market is always being manipulated.  That's the purpose of a cartel.
With all economic decisions taken worldwide, it seems more like an economic world war.
A reaction to Russia's trying to start a kinetic world war.
Bomb opec
yeah that whould really cause the oil price to drop
US should accuse Maduro of being a Na zi and invade Venezuela and invest in its oil fields.  Venezuelans will benefit from having democracy & oil income & the world will benefit from being free of Russian energy blackmail.
Higher oil = higher inflation.
Oil only lowered due to fake news and Iran Deals being priced in multiple times into de market.
it's an election willing racket. Bribe the public and with the help of BB steal the election.
And the aliens! Don't forget the aliens!!!
Oil lowered to negative during Trump's term, and he sprouted so much fake news.
I am wondering how these elevated prices are possible or even sustainable given stagflation raising it's ugly head all over the place. Fundamentals do not seem to play any role in the oil market at the moment but they will and then oil will be going down fast to 50 at least
Inflation is falling so idk what data you are looking at but it's not CPI or PCE
have a look at inventory
oil rises because people realize the iran deal is more nonsense. these articles are all spam.
I am guaranteeing all of you $150 WTI per barrel if not higher. It’s common sense do the math it’s all out there for you to see domestically and worldwide. Do your work and you will see we are so short oil not only in this country but the world it should already be at $150 a barrel. And we might even go to $200 a barrel. And very quickly so buy as much energy exposure as you can. Both hands
Gas prices are still above $4 in my area.
AAA National Average: $3.850
what should i do now??
this is not an easy question!
there's an old trader's saying ....when in doubt get out..... there's always another trade.
Buy EGY, SOU and BIR
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