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Oil mixed as hopes OPEC+ delays supply increase offset demand concerns

Published 11/17/2020, 08:55 PM
Updated 11/18/2020, 12:45 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate at sunset in Midland

By Yuka Obayashi

TOKYO (Reuters) - Oil prices were mixed on Wednesday as a bigger-than-expected build in U.S. crude stocks and weaker U.S. retail sales stoked fears over fuel demand, although hopes that OPEC and its allies will delay a planned rise in oil output lent support.

Brent crude futures for January (LCOc1) rose 3 cents, or 0.1%, to $43.78 a barrel by 0430 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for December (CLc1) eased 3 cents, or 0.1%, to $41.40 a barrel.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) said on Tuesday that U.S. crude stockpiles rose by 4.2 million barrels last week, well above analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a build of 1.7 million barrels.

"The API crude inventories rose much higher than expected, which added to pressure," said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at OANDA.

Disappointing U.S. retail sales also raised concerns over weaker U.S. consumption in light of the COVID-19 resurgence, he said.

U.S. retail sales increased less than expected in October, restrained by spiraling new COVID-19 infections and declining household income as millions of unemployed Americans lose government financial support.

"Still, I think today is the day of consolidation ... investors just saw an excuse for unwinding their long positions," Halley said.

To tackle weaker energy demand amid a new wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, Saudi Arabia called on fellow members of the OPEC+ grouping - OPEC and other producers including Russia - to be flexible in responding to oil market needs as it builds the case for a tighter production policy in 2021.

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"Hopes that OPEC+ will keep existing cuts further into 2021, or even increase the cuts, underpinned prices," said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, general manager of research at Nissan (OTC:NSANY) Securities.

He predicted WTI will stay boxed into a range of $39 to $44 a barrel until a full meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) later this month.

OPEC+ held a ministerial committee meeting on Tuesday that made no formal recommendation. The group will hold a full ministerial meeting on Nov. 30 and Dec. 1 to discuss policy.

OPEC+ members are leaning towards delaying a previously agreed plan to boost output in January by 2 million barrels per day (bpd), or 2% of global demand, sources told Reuters early this week.

Supporting the case for a tighter supply policy next year, OPEC and its allies have revised oil demand scenarios for 2021 with demand seen weaker than previously anticipated, a confidential document seen by Reuters shows.

Latest comments

no analysis is appropriate except the intention of the market movers. Where are the people who argued that there will not be a storage left, and lots of Tankers are wandering near California coast.... which pushed this to the negative territory. After that happening, after the big players exploited lots of retail investor's money it just maintaining over 20, 30 and 40 now.
Its a yo-yo last week oil up on inventory draw, week before oil down on inventory increase. It seems every other week in reality oil should move on inventory changes this is all just market manipulation by the speculators to make money on the ups and downs.
They’re just shutting down rigs to artificiallu affect supply too. At a certain point, they’ll shut them all down just to keep oil afloat.
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