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Oil Rises But Stays Below $100 After Biggest U.S. Fuel Stock Build Since Jan

Published 07/13/2022, 12:19 PM
Updated 07/13/2022, 03:00 PM
© Reuters.

By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com - Oil prices rose for the first time in three days but remained below $100 a barrel after U.S. government data showed the largest weekly fuel stockpiles build since January that suggested a slack in summer energy demand.

A more than 9% surge in U.S. consumer prices during the year to June — marking a new four-decade high in inflation — kept traders cautious as President Joe Biden vowed to continue releasing emergency oil reserves into the market and do everything within his power to lower fuel prices.

The pump price of gasoline has not come down accordingly with the recent drop in crude prices, Biden lamented in a White House statement.

A gallon of unleaded gasoline, the most in-demand fuel product at U.S. pumps, averaged $4.63 on Wednesday, about 8% lower than the record high of $5.01 a month ago. Crude prices, meanwhile, have dropped about 20% from their June peak of around $120 a barrel.

New York-traded West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, crude settled up 46 cents, or 0.5%, at $96.30 a barrel. The U.S. crude benchmark has lost nearly 10% over the previous two sessions.

London-traded Brent crude settled up 8 cents, or 0.1%, at $99.57 a barrel. The global crude benchmark lost more than 7% over two previous days of trade.

Both WTI and Brent have fallen more than 20% from their mid-June peaks of above $120 a barrel, technically slipping into bear markets.

This is despite the two benchmarks still carrying gains of about 27% on the year as a hangover of the post-Ukraine invasion rally in March that took WTI to around $130 and Brent to nearly $140.

July’s drop in oil prices, coming on the back of the strong dollar, is a sign the market may break new bearish ground as crude inventories rise as well, said analysts. The Dollar Index gave back some gains on Wednesday from this week's two-decade highs, helping ease some pressure on oil, although the relief was likely to be temporary, WTI's technical charts suggested.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration, or EIA, said in its Weekly Petroleum Status Report released Wednesday that crude inventories rose 3.254 million barrels during the week ended July 8. This was against the drop of 154,000 barrels forecast by analysts.

It was the second week in a row that crude inventories had shown a build, after the previous week’s rise of 8.235 million barrels.

The EIA also reported that the Biden administration released almost 7 million barrels from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, or SPR, last week to add to a market perceived to be in short supply of crude. It is part of the one-million-barrels per day of SPR releases scheduled between May and October.

Stockpiles of gasoline, the main automobile fuel, rose by 5.825 million barrels last week, versus the forecast decline of 357,000 barrels and the previous week’s drop of 2.497 million.

Historical EIA data showed the last time gasoline inventories rose 5 million barrels or more in a week was six months ago, during the week ended Jan 15.

Stockpiles of distillates, the oil variant required for making the diesel needed for trucks, buses and trains, as well as the fuel for jets, grew by 2.668 million barrels last week, versus a forecast build of 1.591 million and a previous weekly decline of 1.266 million.

Historical EIA data showed the last time distillates inventories rose as much or more was six and a half months ago, during the final week of December.

Analysts expressed surprise with the large builds, which were atypical for summer.

“It is certainly one of the weakest summer demand periods for both crude and fuel products,” said John Kilduff, founding partner at New York energy hedge fund Again Capital.

Latest comments

Get your cheap oil here !!
With Biden dumping oil on the market, there is little incentive for oil companies to open new wells and invest in ramping up production.  Might as well sit back and let Biden drain the reserves first.
imagine being this dense
Rex Price, there is ABSOLUTELY NO intent on the part of drillers like Pioneer to open new wells or ramp up production. At least not until after November. Scott Sheffield and Frank Macchiarolla of API are great B(S) artists.
Focus on the product builds......that is what paints a more bearish picture if it continues.
60
release of 7 million barrels from the SPR and inventories raise by 3.5 mil.ath says is still -3.5 mil
 There was no stipulation on WHERE the oil as supposed to end up. In theory, any  barrel available anywhere in the world becomes part of global inventory and is supposed to factor into overall pricing. Of course, US balances have the greatest impact on pricing. But with the present squeeze on supply, Europe is right smack in the center of global attention.
.. that may be true but the optics are very bad for the Administration. releasing our reserves only to have them sent to a foreign country and not keep them in America is not good.
 It does not matter, the only things that matter is the market balance, how much oil comes into the market (including SPR release) vs. how much is consumed.
Is it politically incorrect to state the fact the US production has been ramped up?
In the most recent week, it was down 100,000 bpd to 12 mbpd. Nothing political.
The past week it may be slightly down but you can't argue it is up significantly since the pandemic lows. My only point is no one talks about production or the rig count. The only try to imply that it is going down because of recession fears. I find this to be disingenuous is all. No one talks about production or the rig count anymore, just recession fears.
 I guess that's because any conversation toward higher production is batted away immediately by the bull contingency here which likes to keep alive the narrative that we're incredibly squeezed and will stay so even if a barrel goes to $200. That industry genius Scott Sheffield famously said he won't drill a drop more even at $200, then lamented after the hearing with Granholm that he was quoted on that. Yes, the administration may have started out on the wrong foot but since the Ukraine invasion, it's abundantly clear that every barrel that can be produced in non-wildlife and conservation areas is being encouraged. Yet Sheffield and his likes, including API headhoncho Frank Machiarolla, seem bent on doing the exact opposite. They will try and keep production and gas above $4 at least until November. You know why. Thanks.
stop driving. the roads are too crowded with workers.
Yaa, I'd like some relief on the '95 :)
Wait until the record cold winter when there is dangerously low oil reserves.
all weather projections are projections till they happen.
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