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Oil at Multi-Month Highs Thanks to Strong U.S. Economic Data

Published 12/17/2019, 01:16 PM
Updated 12/17/2019, 04:03 PM
© Reuters.

Investing.com - U.S. economic numbers are doing for oil what the Trump administration’s deal for China couldn’t. Crude futures reached multi-month highs on Tuesday as upbeat U.S. manufacturing and housing figures turned investors' mindsets into risk-on mode.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate pushed toward $61 per barrel the first time since May. U.K. Brent extended beyond $66 to reach a three-month high, after muted activity since Friday’s much-hyped U.S.-China phase one deal announced by the administration.

NYMEX-traded WTI, the U.S. crude benchmark, settled up 73 cents, or 1.2%, to $60.87 per barrel. It earlier reached $60.97, its highest since Sept 17.

ICE-traded Brent, the global oil benchmark, settled up 76 cents, also 1.2%, at $66.10. It earlier hit $66.24, its highest since the mid-September attack on Saudi oil facilities that briefly knocked out about 5% of global crude supply.

Prior to Tuesday, oil bulls had trouble moving the needle on crude prices as the U.S.-China phase one agreement appeared long on promise and short on facts, prompting caution rather than risk.

Crude prices rose after data from the Federal Reserve showed manufacturing output rose more than expected in November, as the end of a strike at General Motors (NYSE:GM) plants boosted auto production. U.S. housing starts also rose more than expected last month, figures showed.

Notwithstanding Tuesday’s rally, traders were also on the lookout for weekly U.S. oil inventory data that would show how demand and supply fared in the most recent week.

The American Petroleum Institute (API) will issue at 4:30 PM a snapshot of what the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will likely report Wednesday as official petroleum supply-demand balances for last week. Analysts surveyed by Investing.com think crude stockpiles may have fallen by as much as 1.3 million barrels for the week ended Dec. 13.

If true, it would be the first crude stockpile drop in two weeks.

In the previous week to Dec. 6, the EIA reported a crude inventory rise of 822,000 barrels versus market expectations for a drop of 2.76 million barrels.

Latest comments

Guess the survey was high on something. They missed it big time. Look for more of the same in the coming weeks.
The price of oil has been trapped in the mid-$50s because of fear:.  . 1) Fear that OPEC+ would break ranks and flood the global market with oil. Didn't happen..  . 2) Fear of weaker oil demand thanks to a global recession, which now looks extremely unlikely, after strong US data and Sino-US deal..  . 3) The belief that the United States can ramp up oil production at will to meet global demand, while the U.S. production growth had been running at more than 20% year-over-year through 2018, but it has slowed to under 8.5% year-over-year in September. Despite a 25% decline in the number of rigs drilling for oil, U.S. oil production has continued to grow because upstream companies have been completing more wells than they have been drilling. This is possible only because we entered the year with a very large inventory of Drilled but Uncompleted (“DUC”) wells.
Obviously, this disconnect cannot and will not continue. Well completions will decline sharply in the 1st quarter because (a) winter weather always impacts oilfield work and (b) upstream companies have slashed their drilling & completions budgets. The number of wells completed in December are expected to drop about 20% from November because of budget exhaustion.
And why does every headline ignore all the bad data?
Crazy how bad data has ZERO effect, meanwhile all small gains are acting as HUGE ones. Why not talk about the DEBT this nation has??
I agree that this is a totally unjustified hike. Brent has no business being even above $65 and WTI should remain well under $60 in my opinion; maybe closer to $55 or even lower.
Surge of investors buying back into oil makes the most sense to me
It's up because the price is higher. Hate headlines that try to draw correlations.
Thanks to the Fed and going back to QE3.
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