Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Oil, Asia shares see subdued end to year dominated by Fed, China

Published 12/30/2015, 10:27 PM
Updated 12/30/2015, 10:30 PM
© Reuters. An investor smiles in front of an electronic board showing stock information at a brokerage house in Fuyang

By Nichola Saminather and Wayne Cole

SINGAPORE/SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian share markets looked set to end a rough, volatile year on a subdued note on Thursday as a renewed slide in oil prices sapped sentiment, a baleful trend that shows every sign of lingering into 2016.

The relentless decline in oil prices, which have slumped as much as 35 percent this year, has hit currencies of commodity-rich countries including the Russian rouble, Canadian dollar, Norwegian crown, Brazilian real and Mexican peso.

While cheaper fuel is a boost to consumer spending power in much of the developed world, it is also a disinflationary force that reinforces bets on loose monetary policy in Europe, Japan and China, even as the Federal Reserve proceeds with glacial tightening.

Oil prices are ending the year how they began - under pressure. Brent crude skidded toward 11-year lows after an unusual build in U.S. stockpiles and signs Saudi Arabia will keep adding to the global oil glut.

"Ever get the feeling that you've been here before?" wondered analysts at National Australia Bank in a note to clients.

"It is the end of another year with oil prices very weak - having fallen by around a third again since the summer - China fears are at the fore and everyone is still talking about the Fed."

U.S. crude futures (CLc1) gave up gains in early Asian trade to stand flat at $36.58 a barrel, after a drop of 3 percent the previous session. They are on track for a 27 percent loss this year.

Brent crude (LCOc1) also erased earlier gains to trade up 0.1 percent at $36.55, after a 3.5 percent drop in the previous session. It's set for a slump of 35 percent for 2015.

That was bad news for most commodity currencies. The dollar hit a more than one-year high against the Russian rouble , and its highest in at least 13 years against the Norwegian crown

The five worst-performing currencies this year have been the Argentinian peso and Brazilian real , with losses of more than 30 percent versus the dollar, the South African rand , Turkish lira and the Russian rouble, which have tumbled more than 18 percent.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars have had the biggest losses among Asia Pacific currencies. The Aussie slipped about 0.1 percent to $0.7296, extending losses this year to almost 11 percent. The kiwi held steady at $0.6845, on track for a 12.3 percent decline in 2015.

Moves between the majors were much more limited.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was flat at 98.247 (DXY). It was also steady on the yen at 120.455 , while the euro marked time at $1.0925 .

Holidays limited the damage in Asian markets on Thursday with many either closed or shutting early. Japan was one of the markets off on Thursday, though it was also one of the better performers this year with gains of almost 10 percent for the TOPIX (TOPX).

Others have not fared so well. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) was little changed but set to end the year 12 percent lower.

Australia's main index (AXJO) slipped 0.3 percent, widening losses for 2015 to 1.7 percent.

China's Shanghai Composite index <.SSEC> and CSI300 <.CSI300> were both little changed on Thursday. Despite a savage summer rout which rocked global markets, China had the region's best performing emerging market indexes in 2015, with the former set for a gain of 10.5 percent and the latter 6.6 percent.

Thailand (SETI) and Indonesia (JKSE), both of which were closed Thursday, were the worst performing Asian emerging markets this year, with losses of 14 percent and 12.1 percent, respectively.

New Zealand <.NZ50> was the best-performing Asia-Pacific developed market, with gains of 13.5 percent, and Singapore (STI) was the worst, with a 14 percent loss.

The next major Asian event will be official readings on Chinese manufacturing and services in December, due on Jan. 1. Activity in China's manufacturing sector is expected to have contracted for a fifth straight month, a Reuters poll showed, likely consigning the world's second-largest economy to its slowest annual growth rate in 25 years.

Losses in energy stocks weighed on Wall Street on Wednesday, where the Dow (DJI) ended down 0.66 percent. The S&P 500 (SPX) fell 0.72 percent and the Nasdaq (IXIC) 0.82 percent.

© Reuters. An investor smiles in front of an electronic board showing stock information at a brokerage house in Fuyang

Apple (O:AAPL) was the single biggest drag, falling 1.31 percent on fears of potentially soft iPhone sales.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.